The Orcs were ruled by the horrendous Wladyslaw Spindleshanks - who was not only known for his strength but also his necromancing abilities. His army consisted of three types of Orcs: Battle-ready, wounded, and dead. On each day half of the battle-ready remained battle-ready while 20 % became wounded and the rest were killed. Wladyshaw’s half-brother Purrpurr was an amazing healer. Due to his abilities, he could make 35 % of the wounded battle-ready and the rest remained wounded. Lastly, Wladysaw’s powers allowed him to resurrect 40 % of the dead Orcs to become wounded. (a) Draw a flow diagram to illustrate the case. Be sure to label your diagram carefully. (b) Construct a transfer matrix based on (a) representing the three kinds of Orcs each day. (c) If there were 1000 battle-ready Orcs, to begin with, can you give the numbers of battle-ready Orcs for the next three days? Merlin Wisebeard is supposed to arrive with a band of wizards and help Ragnarr end the war on the fourth day, but till then he needs to know how many Orcs his men are against.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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The Orcs were ruled by the horrendous Wladyslaw Spindleshanks - who was not only known for his strength but also his necromancing abilities. His army consisted of three types of Orcs: Battle-ready, wounded, and dead. On each day half of the battle-ready remained battle-ready while 20 % became wounded and the rest were killed. Wladyshaw’s half-brother Purrpurr was an amazing healer. Due to his abilities, he could make 35 % of the wounded battle-ready and the rest remained wounded. Lastly, Wladysaw’s powers allowed him to resurrect 40 % of the dead Orcs to become wounded.

(a) Draw a flow diagram to illustrate the case. Be sure to label your diagram carefully.

(b) Construct a transfer matrix based on (a) representing the three kinds of Orcs each day.

(c) If there were 1000 battle-ready Orcs, to begin with, can you give the numbers of battle-ready Orcs for the next three days? Merlin Wisebeard is supposed to arrive with a band of wizards and help Ragnarr end the war on the fourth day, but till then he needs to know how many Orcs his men are against.

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