The following graph shows that the Phillips curve (expressing the relation between inflation and unemployment) has flattened over time in the eurozone. Illustrate the flattening of the Phillips curve in the IS-LM-PC graph. What are the implications of the flattening of the Phillips curve for a central bank that i) needs to assess the size of the output gap in order to reduce it and/or ii) aims at bringing inflation in line with target inflation? Explain in words and show graphically. Discuss why the fact that the flattening of the Phillips curve might not be immediately observed by the central bank can be a problem for the conduct of monetary policy. (x-axis: percentages; y-axis: annual percentage changes) 1999-2007 2008-2018 HICPX inflation 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 6 9 10 Unemployment rate Sources: Eurostat and ECB calculations. Note: Linear regression lines for the two samples are shown in grey. 11 8 12 13

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Question 1
The following graph shows that the Phillips curve (expressing the relation
between inflation and unemployment) has flattened over time in the
eurozone. Illustrate the flattening of the Phillips curve in the IS-LM-PC graph.
What are the implications of the flattening of the Phillips curve for a central
bank that
i) needs to assess the size of the output gap in order to reduce it and/or ii)
aims at bringing inflation in line with target inflation? Explain in words and
show graphically. Discuss why the fact that the flattening of the Phillips
curve might not be immediately observed by the central bank can be a
problem for the conduct of monetary policy.
(x-axis: percentages; y-axis: annual percentage changes)
1999-2007
2008-2018
HICPX inflation
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
6
7
8
9
10
Unemployment rate
Sources: Eurostat and ECB calculations.
Note: Linear regression lines for the two samples are shown in grey.
11
12
13
Transcribed Image Text:Question 1 The following graph shows that the Phillips curve (expressing the relation between inflation and unemployment) has flattened over time in the eurozone. Illustrate the flattening of the Phillips curve in the IS-LM-PC graph. What are the implications of the flattening of the Phillips curve for a central bank that i) needs to assess the size of the output gap in order to reduce it and/or ii) aims at bringing inflation in line with target inflation? Explain in words and show graphically. Discuss why the fact that the flattening of the Phillips curve might not be immediately observed by the central bank can be a problem for the conduct of monetary policy. (x-axis: percentages; y-axis: annual percentage changes) 1999-2007 2008-2018 HICPX inflation 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 6 7 8 9 10 Unemployment rate Sources: Eurostat and ECB calculations. Note: Linear regression lines for the two samples are shown in grey. 11 12 13
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