The federal government is working on passing a $1.9 trillion stimulus bill in response to the coronavirus pandemic. Every House Republican voted against this bill. One component of this bill is $170 billion in aid for public schools. A journalist learns that an organization of private schools have contributed hundreds of thousands of dollars to the reelection committees of Republican members of Congress. The journalist claims that Republican members voted against the stimulus bill because they were bought by special interests.   State the dependent variable in the journalist’s claim and give two values it can take.  We have learned that to evaluate a claim that X causes Y four conditions must be met. State each of these four conditions and discuss whether the journalist’s causal claim is plausible.  Describe a potential confounding variable that might make the journalist’s correlation spurious.

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 The federal government is working on passing a $1.9 trillion stimulus bill in response to the coronavirus pandemic. Every House Republican voted against this bill. One component of this bill is $170 billion in aid for public schools. A journalist learns that an organization of private schools have contributed hundreds of thousands of dollars to the reelection committees of Republican members of Congress. The journalist claims that Republican members voted against the stimulus bill because they were bought by special interests.

 

  1. State the dependent variable in the journalist’s claim and give two values it can take. 






  1. We have learned that to evaluate a claim that X causes Y four conditions must be met. State each of these four conditions and discuss whether the journalist’s causal claim is plausible. 



  1. Describe a potential confounding variable that might make the journalist’s correlation spurious.
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