The Beta for a producing well is 0.7. The market risk premium is 7.5%, and the risk-free-rate is 3.6%. For simplicity assume there are no taxes and make further assumptions as necessary. a. What is the correct discount rate for cash flows from the developed wells? b. What is the NPV of the cash flows from the well if you are guaranteed to strike oil (i.e., ignoring the risk of a dry hole)? Construct a pro forma to show your answer. c. The oil company executive proposes to add 20 percentage points to the discount rate to offset the risk of a dry hole. He calls this a "fudge factor." Calculate the NPV of the well with this adjusted discount rate. d. What do you say the NPV of the well is? Is it your answer from b or your answer from c, or something else? Why? If it is something else, please calculate it here.

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1PS
icon
Related questions
Question
1) An oil company is drilling a series of new wells that are adjacent to an existing oil field. About 20% of
the new wells will be dry holes and will produce zero oil. If the wells do, in fact, strike oil, they have
different expected values. Well One is expected to produce oil worth $5 million per year for 10 years if
it strikes oil.
The well will cost $10 million apiece to drill. This is depreciable over the life of the project. It requires
an investment of $2 million in Net Working Capital, which you will get back in the end. There are $1
million in expenses each year on maintenance and other operating expenses. There is no salvage value.
The Beta for a producing well is 0.7. The market risk premium is 7.5%, and the risk-free-rate is 3.6%. For
simplicity assume there are no taxes and make further assumptions as necessary.
a. What is the correct discount rate for cash flows from the developed wells?
b. What is the NPV of the cash flows from the well if you are guaranteed to strike oil (i.e.,
ignoring the risk of a dry hole)? Construct a pro forma to show your answer.
C. The oil company executive proposes to add 20 percentage points to the discount rate to
offset the risk of a dry hole. He calls this a "fudge factor." Calculate the NPV of the well
with this adjusted discount rate.
d. What do you say the NPV of the well is? Is it your answer from b or your answer from c,
or something else? Why? If it is something else, please calculate it here.
Transcribed Image Text:1) An oil company is drilling a series of new wells that are adjacent to an existing oil field. About 20% of the new wells will be dry holes and will produce zero oil. If the wells do, in fact, strike oil, they have different expected values. Well One is expected to produce oil worth $5 million per year for 10 years if it strikes oil. The well will cost $10 million apiece to drill. This is depreciable over the life of the project. It requires an investment of $2 million in Net Working Capital, which you will get back in the end. There are $1 million in expenses each year on maintenance and other operating expenses. There is no salvage value. The Beta for a producing well is 0.7. The market risk premium is 7.5%, and the risk-free-rate is 3.6%. For simplicity assume there are no taxes and make further assumptions as necessary. a. What is the correct discount rate for cash flows from the developed wells? b. What is the NPV of the cash flows from the well if you are guaranteed to strike oil (i.e., ignoring the risk of a dry hole)? Construct a pro forma to show your answer. C. The oil company executive proposes to add 20 percentage points to the discount rate to offset the risk of a dry hole. He calls this a "fudge factor." Calculate the NPV of the well with this adjusted discount rate. d. What do you say the NPV of the well is? Is it your answer from b or your answer from c, or something else? Why? If it is something else, please calculate it here.
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps with 1 images

Blurred answer
Knowledge Booster
Treasury Market
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, finance and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Similar questions
Recommended textbooks for you
Essentials Of Investments
Essentials Of Investments
Finance
ISBN:
9781260013924
Author:
Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:
Mcgraw-hill Education,
FUNDAMENTALS OF CORPORATE FINANCE
FUNDAMENTALS OF CORPORATE FINANCE
Finance
ISBN:
9781260013962
Author:
BREALEY
Publisher:
RENT MCG
Financial Management: Theory & Practice
Financial Management: Theory & Practice
Finance
ISBN:
9781337909730
Author:
Brigham
Publisher:
Cengage
Foundations Of Finance
Foundations Of Finance
Finance
ISBN:
9780134897264
Author:
KEOWN, Arthur J., Martin, John D., PETTY, J. William
Publisher:
Pearson,
Fundamentals of Financial Management (MindTap Cou…
Fundamentals of Financial Management (MindTap Cou…
Finance
ISBN:
9781337395250
Author:
Eugene F. Brigham, Joel F. Houston
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Corporate Finance (The Mcgraw-hill/Irwin Series i…
Corporate Finance (The Mcgraw-hill/Irwin Series i…
Finance
ISBN:
9780077861759
Author:
Stephen A. Ross Franco Modigliani Professor of Financial Economics Professor, Randolph W Westerfield Robert R. Dockson Deans Chair in Bus. Admin., Jeffrey Jaffe, Bradford D Jordan Professor
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education