The Bayside Fountain Hotel is adjacent to County Coliseum, a 24,000-seat arena that is home tothe city’s professional basketball and ice hockey teams and that hosts a variety of concerts, tradeshows, and conventions throughout the year. The hotel has experienced the following occupancyrates for the past 9 years, since the coliseum opened:Year Occupancy Rate (%)1                      832                      783                     754                   815                         866                   857                        898                    909                  86 Compute an exponential smoothing forecast with a = .20, an adjusted exponential smoothingforecast with a = .20 and B=30 and a linear trend line forecast. Compare the three forecasts,using MAD and average error ( ), and indicate which seems to be most accurate.

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The Bayside Fountain Hotel is adjacent to County Coliseum, a 24,000-seat arena that is home to
the city’s professional basketball and ice hockey teams and that hosts a variety of concerts, trade
shows, and conventions throughout the year. The hotel has experienced the following occupancy
rates for the past 9 years, since the coliseum opened:
Year Occupancy Rate (%)
1                      83
2                      78
3                     75
4                   81
5                         86
6                   85
7                        89
8                    90
9                  86 Compute an exponential smoothing forecast with a = .20, an adjusted exponential smoothing
forecast with a = .20 and B=30 and a linear trend line forecast. Compare the three forecasts,
using MAD and average error ( ), and indicate which seems to be most accurate.

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