The average speeds of cars on a highway are distributed according to a normal distribution. Today, John is on his way to work. As he enters the highway, he notices a car speeding by at 150 km/hr. Ten seconds later, another car speeds by at 160 km/hr. John concludes that today, cars must be going faster for some reason. A few minutes later, John gets into a minor accident. Once again, he concludes that it was inevitable - he got into the accident because cars were driving faster today. Explain what fallacies - if any - are involved in both of John's claims. Is John justified in his conclusions?

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The average speeds of cars on a highway are distributed according to a normal distribution.
Today, John is on his way to work. As he enters the highway, he notices a car speeding by at 150
km/hr. Ten seconds later, another car speeds by at 160 km/hr. John concludes that today, cars must
be going faster for some reason. A few minutes later, John gets into a minor accident. Once again,
he concludes that it was inevitable - he got into the accident because cars were driving faster
today.
Explain what fallacies - if any-are involved in both of John's claims. Is John justified in his
conclusions?
Transcribed Image Text:The average speeds of cars on a highway are distributed according to a normal distribution. Today, John is on his way to work. As he enters the highway, he notices a car speeding by at 150 km/hr. Ten seconds later, another car speeds by at 160 km/hr. John concludes that today, cars must be going faster for some reason. A few minutes later, John gets into a minor accident. Once again, he concludes that it was inevitable - he got into the accident because cars were driving faster today. Explain what fallacies - if any-are involved in both of John's claims. Is John justified in his conclusions?
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