Telluride Tours is currently evaluating two mutually exclusive investments. After doing a scenario analysis and applying probabilities to each scenario, it has determined that the investments have the following distributions around the expected NPVS. Probability NPVA NPVB 10% -$39,780 --$14,918 20% -9,945 2,486 40% 19,890 19,890 20% 49,725 37,294 10% 79,560 54,698 Several members of the management team have suggested that Project A should be selected because it has a higher potential NPV. Other members have suggested that Project B appears to be more conservative and should be selected. They have asked you to resolve this question. а. Calculate the expected NPV for both projects. Can the question be resolved with this information alone? b. Calculate the variance and standard deviation of the NPVS for both projects. Which project appears to be riskier?

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Telluride Tours is currently evaluating two mutually exclusive investments.
After doing a scenario analysis and applying probabilities to each scenario,
it has determined that the investments have the following distributions
around the expected NPVS.
Probability
NPVA
NPVB
10%
-$39,780
-$14,918
20%
-9,945
2,486
40%
19,890
19,890
20%
49,725
37,294
10%
79,560
54,698
Several members of the management team have suggested that Project A
should be selected because it has a higher potential NPV. Other members
have suggested that Project B appears to be more conservative and should
be selected. They have asked you to resolve this question.
Calculate the expected NPV for both projects. Can the question be
resolved with this information alone?
а.
b. Calculate the variance and standard deviation of the NPVS for both
projects. Which project appears to be riskier?
Transcribed Image Text:Telluride Tours is currently evaluating two mutually exclusive investments. After doing a scenario analysis and applying probabilities to each scenario, it has determined that the investments have the following distributions around the expected NPVS. Probability NPVA NPVB 10% -$39,780 -$14,918 20% -9,945 2,486 40% 19,890 19,890 20% 49,725 37,294 10% 79,560 54,698 Several members of the management team have suggested that Project A should be selected because it has a higher potential NPV. Other members have suggested that Project B appears to be more conservative and should be selected. They have asked you to resolve this question. Calculate the expected NPV for both projects. Can the question be resolved with this information alone? а. b. Calculate the variance and standard deviation of the NPVS for both projects. Which project appears to be riskier?
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