Take a country that has the debt-to-GDP ratio equal to bo. Suppose the real interest rate on government bonds is larger than the rate of growth of real GDP. Suppose further that the government is running a primary deficit, so that the debt ratio is bound to increase.

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Take a country that has the debt-to-GDP ratio equal to bo. Suppose the real interest rate on government bonds is larger than the rate
of growth of real GDP. Suppose further that the government is running a primary deficit, so that the debt ratio is bound to increase.
Now suppose the government takes measures to stabilize debt and starts running a primary surplus large enough to keep the
debt ratio constant. Show on the debt dynamics graph how this change in fiscal policy makes the government able to maintain debt
at bo-
a)
b)
Now assume that the sharp fiscal contraction leads to a recession, decreasing the growth rate of real GDP. Using the debt
dynamics equation and assuming that the growth rates and primary surpluses are negatively correlated, explain the impact of a fiscal
contraction on the subsequent stabilization of the debt-to-GDP ratio.
Transcribed Image Text:Take a country that has the debt-to-GDP ratio equal to bo. Suppose the real interest rate on government bonds is larger than the rate of growth of real GDP. Suppose further that the government is running a primary deficit, so that the debt ratio is bound to increase. Now suppose the government takes measures to stabilize debt and starts running a primary surplus large enough to keep the debt ratio constant. Show on the debt dynamics graph how this change in fiscal policy makes the government able to maintain debt at bo- a) b) Now assume that the sharp fiscal contraction leads to a recession, decreasing the growth rate of real GDP. Using the debt dynamics equation and assuming that the growth rates and primary surpluses are negatively correlated, explain the impact of a fiscal contraction on the subsequent stabilization of the debt-to-GDP ratio.
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