Table B Profit Implications of Various Pricing Actions after Sale Current ($5 million) pricing Axon lowers to $4 million and Archer maintains price Archer lowers to $4 million and Axon maintains price Both lower price Axon ($ million) 15.0 16.0 7.5 10.0 Archer ($ million) 30 21 25 20 Axon's B plant had not been run for a few years and, while there were disagreements within the firm about what to do with the plant, few now believed that overall demand for marble in this region was likely to increase. At first, Joel thought that it was only necessary to determine an appropriate market value for the plant and the land. But when Joel asked some of the more experienced members of the planning group why the plant had not been previously sold, he was told that the capacity might have played a role in pricing dynamics. Despite chronic overcapacity in the industry, pricing had been remarkably stable. Each company currently had market shares in direct proportion to its capacity. Joel wondered if the sale of this idle plant would impact the price of marble or Axon's share of the market. To get at the 'sale' question, Joel was convinced that he had to understand more about pricing dynamics in the industry. Perhaps game theory could be of use. a. Formulate the problem you need to solve. Explain. b. Identify the key elements of this strategic interaction as explained in the class. Explain. c. Who are the players? Explain.

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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Application:
The Sale of Axon Marble's B Plant
Axon Marble Company had been approached by a firm that wanted to acquire Axon's B plant, the
smaller of two marble plants. The B plant was currently idle. The prospective buyer had no interest in
the marble business and planned to tear down the plant and use the land for other purposes. It was
generally believed that the buyer is unlikely to pay very much.
Alex Karp, head of Axon Marble Company's Strategic Planning Group, asked Joel Garner, a recent
graduate from business school, to prepare a preliminary assessment of the sale for the next
morning's planning group meeting. Joel was pleased to be asked to take on this assignment but was
concerned that the time frame would put a significant limitation on the amount of information he
could collect to support the analysis.
Joel knew the following facts:
Axon had an 8,000-ton per year plant and a smaller 2,000-ton plant. The smaller plant was
currently idle. Axon's only competitor was Archer, which operated a single 20,000-ton plant.
●
At current prices there was significant over capacity. Over the last five years each firm had
been producing at 50% of total capacity (Archer at 10,000 tons and Axon at 5,000 tons). There
was no significant difference in the quality of the marble from any of the plants, and all three
plants were equally efficient. Relative to variable costs, fixed costs were negligible. The current
market price for marble was $5 million (U.S.) for each thousand tons of marble sold. Variable
costs were $2 million per thousand tons.
Marketing had indicated that lowering the price to $4 million for each thousand tons while the
other firm maintained its price at $5 million would likely shift half of the other firm's demand
to the firm with the lower price. If both firms lowered the price to $4 million, each would
maintain its original share of overall demand. Axon's marketing team believed that the
marketers at Archer held the same view. Unfortunately, Axon's marketing was unable to
commit to an estimate of how much overall demand would change with a lower price.
Based on this information about demand responsiveness, cost, and capacity, Joel made a number
of profit calculations, which are summarized in Tables A and B. For the purposes of his initial
calculation he assumed no overall demand increase with lower price.
Table A Profit Implications of Various Pricing Actions in Current Situation
Axon
($ million)
Archer
($ million)
Current ($5 million) pricing
15.0
30
20.0
15
Axon lowers to $4 million and Archer maintains price
Archer lowers to $4 million and Axon maintains price
Both lower price
7.5
25
10.0
20
Transcribed Image Text:Application: The Sale of Axon Marble's B Plant Axon Marble Company had been approached by a firm that wanted to acquire Axon's B plant, the smaller of two marble plants. The B plant was currently idle. The prospective buyer had no interest in the marble business and planned to tear down the plant and use the land for other purposes. It was generally believed that the buyer is unlikely to pay very much. Alex Karp, head of Axon Marble Company's Strategic Planning Group, asked Joel Garner, a recent graduate from business school, to prepare a preliminary assessment of the sale for the next morning's planning group meeting. Joel was pleased to be asked to take on this assignment but was concerned that the time frame would put a significant limitation on the amount of information he could collect to support the analysis. Joel knew the following facts: Axon had an 8,000-ton per year plant and a smaller 2,000-ton plant. The smaller plant was currently idle. Axon's only competitor was Archer, which operated a single 20,000-ton plant. ● At current prices there was significant over capacity. Over the last five years each firm had been producing at 50% of total capacity (Archer at 10,000 tons and Axon at 5,000 tons). There was no significant difference in the quality of the marble from any of the plants, and all three plants were equally efficient. Relative to variable costs, fixed costs were negligible. The current market price for marble was $5 million (U.S.) for each thousand tons of marble sold. Variable costs were $2 million per thousand tons. Marketing had indicated that lowering the price to $4 million for each thousand tons while the other firm maintained its price at $5 million would likely shift half of the other firm's demand to the firm with the lower price. If both firms lowered the price to $4 million, each would maintain its original share of overall demand. Axon's marketing team believed that the marketers at Archer held the same view. Unfortunately, Axon's marketing was unable to commit to an estimate of how much overall demand would change with a lower price. Based on this information about demand responsiveness, cost, and capacity, Joel made a number of profit calculations, which are summarized in Tables A and B. For the purposes of his initial calculation he assumed no overall demand increase with lower price. Table A Profit Implications of Various Pricing Actions in Current Situation Axon ($ million) Archer ($ million) Current ($5 million) pricing 15.0 30 20.0 15 Axon lowers to $4 million and Archer maintains price Archer lowers to $4 million and Axon maintains price Both lower price 7.5 25 10.0 20
Table B Profit Implications of Various Pricing Actions after Sale
Archer
Axon
($ million)
($ million)
Current ($5 million) pricing
15.0
30
16.0
21
Axon lowers to $4 million and Archer maintains price
Archer lowers to $4 million and Axon maintains price
Both lower price
7.5
25
10.0
20
Axon's B plant had not been run for a few years and, while there were disagreements within the
firm about what to do with the plant, few now believed that overall demand for marble in this region
was likely to increase. At first, Joel thought that it was only necessary to determine an appropriate
market value for the plant and the land. But when Joel asked some of the more experienced
members of the planning group why the plant had not been previously sold, he was told that the
capacity might have played a role in pricing dynamics. Despite chronic overcapacity in the industry,
pricing had been remarkably stable. Each company currently had market shares in direct proportion to
its capacity. Joel wondered if the sale of this idle plant would impact the price of marble or Axon's
share of the market.
To get at the 'sale' question, Joel was convinced that he had to understand more about pricing
dynamics in the industry. Perhaps game theory could be of use.
a. Formulate the problem you need to solve. Explain.
b. Identify the key elements of this strategic interaction as explained in the class. Explain.
c. Who are the players? Explain.
d. What are the actions available to the players and what is the timing associated with those actions?
State the information accessible to each player. Explain.
e.
f. Identify the strategies for each player. Explain.
g. Clearly write down the payoffs for each player in matrix form assuming a simultaneous move one
-shot interaction. Explain.
h. Consider the case where Axon sells its plant.
i.
Solve the problem using iterated elimination of dominated strategies? Refer to and apply
the assumption of common knowledge of rationality.
ii.
Identify the Nash Equilibrium/Equilibria? Explain.
Why is Archer willing to maintain its price even if it expects Axon to lower its price? (Hint:
Refer to Axon's price elasticity of demand and its capacity). Explain.
iv.
What is a commitment device in game theory? Identify the commitment by Axon to not
steal the entire demand of Archer. Is this commitment credible? Explain.
V.
Suppose Archer could observe Axon's price and could change its price. Should it do so?
Consider the case where Axon does not sell its plant.
i.
i.
Identify the Nash Equilibrium/Equilibria. Explain
ii.
How can Axon achieve the equilibrium where Axon and Archer both maintain their prices?
2
Transcribed Image Text:Table B Profit Implications of Various Pricing Actions after Sale Archer Axon ($ million) ($ million) Current ($5 million) pricing 15.0 30 16.0 21 Axon lowers to $4 million and Archer maintains price Archer lowers to $4 million and Axon maintains price Both lower price 7.5 25 10.0 20 Axon's B plant had not been run for a few years and, while there were disagreements within the firm about what to do with the plant, few now believed that overall demand for marble in this region was likely to increase. At first, Joel thought that it was only necessary to determine an appropriate market value for the plant and the land. But when Joel asked some of the more experienced members of the planning group why the plant had not been previously sold, he was told that the capacity might have played a role in pricing dynamics. Despite chronic overcapacity in the industry, pricing had been remarkably stable. Each company currently had market shares in direct proportion to its capacity. Joel wondered if the sale of this idle plant would impact the price of marble or Axon's share of the market. To get at the 'sale' question, Joel was convinced that he had to understand more about pricing dynamics in the industry. Perhaps game theory could be of use. a. Formulate the problem you need to solve. Explain. b. Identify the key elements of this strategic interaction as explained in the class. Explain. c. Who are the players? Explain. d. What are the actions available to the players and what is the timing associated with those actions? State the information accessible to each player. Explain. e. f. Identify the strategies for each player. Explain. g. Clearly write down the payoffs for each player in matrix form assuming a simultaneous move one -shot interaction. Explain. h. Consider the case where Axon sells its plant. i. Solve the problem using iterated elimination of dominated strategies? Refer to and apply the assumption of common knowledge of rationality. ii. Identify the Nash Equilibrium/Equilibria? Explain. Why is Archer willing to maintain its price even if it expects Axon to lower its price? (Hint: Refer to Axon's price elasticity of demand and its capacity). Explain. iv. What is a commitment device in game theory? Identify the commitment by Axon to not steal the entire demand of Archer. Is this commitment credible? Explain. V. Suppose Archer could observe Axon's price and could change its price. Should it do so? Consider the case where Axon does not sell its plant. i. i. Identify the Nash Equilibrium/Equilibria. Explain ii. How can Axon achieve the equilibrium where Axon and Archer both maintain their prices? 2
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