T company computer department purchases a new computer every two years with preferences for three models; T1, T2 and T3. If the present model is T1, the next computer may be T2 with probability 0.2 or T3 with probability 0.15. If the present model is T2, the probabilities of switching to T1 and T3 are 0.6 and 0.25 respectively. And if present model is T3 then, the probabilities of switching to T1 and T2 are 0.5 and 0.1 respectively. Represent the situation as a Markov chain

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
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T company computer department purchases a new computer every two years with preferences for three models; T1, T2 and T3. If the present model is T1, the next computer may be T2 with probability 0.2 or T3 with probability 0.15. If the present model is T2, the probabilities of switching to T1 and T3 are 0.6 and 0.25 respectively. And if present model is T3 then, the probabilities of switching to T1 and T2 are 0.5 and 0.1 respectively.

Represent the situation as a Markov chain

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Step 1

Let xn be preference of a computer for every two years.

A stochastic process xn,n=T1,T2,T3 with state space T1,T2,T3

where T1,T2,T3 are three computers models the transition probability matrix is given by

Pij=Pxn+1=j/xn=i

is the conditional probability of transition from state i at nth trial to the state j at n+1th trail.

 

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