Suppose you can observe that 1-year bond interest rate is 4%, 2-year bond interest rate is 8%, and 3-year bond interest rate is 10% at time t. It is also known that the term premium on a 2-year bond is 1% and the term premium on a 3-year bond is 1.5%. a) What are the market's expected 1-year bond interest rates for the next two years from time t? b) How to interpret those expected short-term interest rates? (what would be the "possible" economic meanings in the expected short- term interest rates?) Discuss as least two "candidates" to explain them.

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
Section: Chapter Questions
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Suppose you can observe that 1-year bond
interest rate is 4%, 2-year bond interest rate is
8%, and 3-year bond interest rate is 10% at
time t. It is also known that the term premium
on a 2-year bond is 1% and the term premium
on a 3-year bond is 1.5%.
a) What are the market's expected 1-year
bond interest rates for the next two years
from time t?
b) How to interpret those expected short-term
interest rates? (what would be the "possible"
economic meanings in the expected short-
term interest rates?) Discuss as least two
"candidates" to explain them.
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose you can observe that 1-year bond interest rate is 4%, 2-year bond interest rate is 8%, and 3-year bond interest rate is 10% at time t. It is also known that the term premium on a 2-year bond is 1% and the term premium on a 3-year bond is 1.5%. a) What are the market's expected 1-year bond interest rates for the next two years from time t? b) How to interpret those expected short-term interest rates? (what would be the "possible" economic meanings in the expected short- term interest rates?) Discuss as least two "candidates" to explain them.
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