Suppose we are interested in investing in one of three investment opportunities: di, d2, or ds. The following profit payoff table shows the profits (in thousands of dollars) under each of the three possible economic conditions: sı, s2, and s3. Decision States of Nature Alternativesı S2 S3 di 38 28 18 d2 60 50 -10 d3 15 40 16 Assume the states of nature have the following probabilities of occurrence: P(s1) = 0.2, P(s2) = 0.3, P(s3) = 0.5. Determine the expected value of each alternative and indicate which а. decision alternative is the best. b. Determine the expected value with perfect information about the states of nature. Determine the expected value of perfect information. С.

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Suppose we are interested in investing in one of three investment
opportunities: di, d2, or d3. The following profit payoff table shows the
profits (in thousands of dollars) under each of the three possible economic
conditions: sı, s2, and s3.
11.
Decision
States of Nature
Alternativesı
S2
S3
di
38
28
18
d2
60
50
-10
d3
15
40
16
Assume the states of nature have the following probabilities of occurrence:
P(s1) = 0.2, P(s2) = 0.3, P(s3) = 0.5.
Determine the expected value of each alternative and indicate which
а.
decision alternative is the best.
b.
Determine the expected value with perfect information about the
states of nature.
С.
Determine the expected value of perfect information.
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose we are interested in investing in one of three investment opportunities: di, d2, or d3. The following profit payoff table shows the profits (in thousands of dollars) under each of the three possible economic conditions: sı, s2, and s3. 11. Decision States of Nature Alternativesı S2 S3 di 38 28 18 d2 60 50 -10 d3 15 40 16 Assume the states of nature have the following probabilities of occurrence: P(s1) = 0.2, P(s2) = 0.3, P(s3) = 0.5. Determine the expected value of each alternative and indicate which а. decision alternative is the best. b. Determine the expected value with perfect information about the states of nature. С. Determine the expected value of perfect information.
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