Suppose the real risk-free rate is 4.20%, the average expected future inflation rate is 4.20%, and a maturity risk premium of 0.10% per year to maturity applies, i.e., MRP = 0.10%(t), where t is the number of years to maturity, hence the pure expectations theory is NOT valid. What rate of return would you expect on a 4-year Treasury security? Disregard cross-product terms, i.e., if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average.

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Treasury Market

On-the-run securities are the most recently issued securities in the market depth and are therefore traded at some premium. The off-the-run securities are the ones issued just before the most recent ones. The on-the-run securities have a lower yield to the investor than the off-the-run securities.