Suppose the government announces that, based on a just-completed survey, the growth rate in the economy is likely to be 2 percent in the coming year, as compared to 5 percent for the past year. Will security prices increase, decrease, or stay the same following this announcement? Does it make any difference whether the 2 percent figure was anticipated by the market? Explain
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Suppose the government announces that, based on a just-completed survey, the
prices increase, decrease, or stay the same following this announcement? Does it make any difference whether the 2 percent figure was anticipated by the market? Explain.
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- The Scenarios: You work in the macroeconomic research department of an investment bank. Based on your modelling of the economy, you think that in the next few months US GDP will evolve according to three basic scenarios: Scenario A: GDP will rise 3%. This will send the S&P ETF to 414. Scenario B: GDP will stagnate. S&P ETF will stay at 407. Scenario C: GDP will fall 2%. This will send the S&P ETF to 400. Question Compute the payoff and net payoff in the three scenarios above of a strategy made of two legs: Leg 1: a long straddle with maturity in February and strike 407. Leg 2: a short straddle with maturity in March and strike 407. Use the data in Table 2. Discuss why an investor might be interested in trading this strategy. What is the investor betting on?Suppose that the investment demand curve in a certain economy is such that investment declines by $130 billion for every 1 percentage point increase in the real interest rate. Also, suppose that the investment demand curve shifts rightward by $150 billion at each real interest rate for every 1 percentage point increase in the expected rate of return from investment. If stimulus spending (an expansionary fiscal policy) by government increases the real interest rate by 2 percentage points, but also raises the expected rate of return on investment by 1 percentage point, how much investment, if any, will be crowded out? Instructions: Enter your answer as a whole number. 2$ billionScenarios: You work in the macroeconomic research department of an investment bank. Based on your modelling of the economy, you think that in the next few months US GDP will evolve according to three basic scenarios: Scenario A: GDP will rise 3%. This will send the S&P ETF to 414. Scenario B: GDP will stagnate. S&P ETF will stay at 407. Scenario C: GDP will fall 2%. This will send the S&P ETF to 400. Compute the payoff and net payoff of a bear spread strategy built with put options in the three scenarios above. The put options should have strikes 405 and 409 and mature in February. Draw the profile of the bear spread strategy. Use the data in Table 2. Please show your calculations. Discuss your result. You also observe the following market for European Call and Put options on the S&P 500 ETF: Today: 10th January 2023 Spot index level: 407 LOOK AT ATTACHED IMAGE
- Scenarios: You work in the macroeconomic research department of an investment bank. Based on your modelling of the economy, you think that in the next few months US GDP will evolve according to three basic scenarios: Scenario A: GDP will rise 3%. This will send the S&P ETF to 414. Scenario B: GDP will stagnate. S&P ETF will stay at 407. Scenario C: GDP will fall 2%. This will send the S&P ETF to 400. Question 3 You build an “Iron Condor” strategy with February maturity combining the following positions: a long put at 405 a short put at 406 a short call at 408 a long call at 409 Draw the payoff and net payoff of the Iron Condor strategy. Compute the payoff and net payoff of this strategy in the three scenarios. Use the data in Table 2. Please show your calculations. Discuss your result.Scenarios: You work in the macroeconomic research department of an investment bank. Based on your modelling of the economy, you think that in the next few months US GDP will evolve according to three basic scenarios: Scenario A: GDP will rise 3%. This will send the S&P ETF to 414. Scenario B: GDP will stagnate. S&P ETF will stay at 407. Scenario C: GDP will fall 2%. This will send the S&P ETF to 400. Question 1: Compute the payoff and net payoff of a bear spread strategy built with put options in the three scenarios above. The put options should have strikes 405 and 409 and mature in February. Draw the profile of the bear spread strategy. Use the data in Table 2. Please show your calculations. Discuss your result.Find a country that has experienced more than two years of reported negative inflation in the last 10 years, can you suggest why this might have happened?
- Scenarios: You work in the macroeconomic research department of an investment bank. Based on your modelling of the economy, you think that in the next few months US GDP will evolve according to three basic scenarios: Scenario A: GDP will rise 3%. This will send the S&P ETF to 414. Scenario B: GDP will stagnate. S&P ETF will stay at 407. Scenario C: GDP will fall 2%. This will send the S&P ETF to 400. Compute the payoff and net payoff in the three scenarios above of a strategy made of two legs: Leg 1: a long straddle with maturity in February and strike 407. Leg 2: a short straddle with maturity in March and strike 407. Use the data in Table 2. You also observe the following market for European Call and Put options on the S&P 500 ETF: Today :10th January 2023 Spot index level: 407 see attached image Part 2:Suppose that two factors have been identified for the U.S. economy: the growth rate of industrial production, IP, and the inflation rate, IR. IP is expected to be 3%, and IR 5%. A stock with a beta of 1 on IP and .5 on IR currently is expected to provide a rate of return of 12%. If industrial production actually grows by 5%, while the inflation rate turns out to be 8%, what is your revised estimate of the expected rate of return on the stock?Hyperinflation is indicated by all of the following, except: a. The general population prefers to keep its wealthy in nonmonetary assets. b. Interest rates, wages and prices are linked to a price index. c. The cumulative inflation rate over three years is approaching or exceeds 100%. d. All of the choices indicate hyperinflation.
- Suppose a new and more liberal Congress and administration are elected. Their first orderof business is to take away the independence of the Federal Reserve System and to forcethe Fed to greatly expand the money supply. What effect will this have:a. On the level and slope of the yield curve immediately after the announcement?b. On the level and slope of the yield curve that would exist 2 or 3 years in the future?Suppose that two factors have been identified for the U.S. economy: the growth rate of industrial production, IP, and the inflation rate, IR. IP is expected to be 3%, and IR 3.4%. A stock with a beta of 2.8 on IP and 2.2 on IR currently is expected to provide a rate of return of 15%. If industrial production actually grows by 7%, while the inflation rate turns out to be 5.0%, what is your revised estimate of the expected return on the stock (write as percentage, rounded to one decimal place)?Suppose that two factors have been identified for the U.S. economy: the growth rate of industrial production, IP, and the inflation rate, IR. IP is expected to be 5%, and IR 4.0%. A stock with a beta of 1.2 on IP and 0.6 on IR currently is expected to provide a rate of return of 8%. If industrial production actually grows by 6%, while the inflation rate turns out to be 6.0%, what is your revised estimate of the expected rate of return on the stock? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 1 decimal place.)