Suppose the following are the seasonal indices for the first three quarters of the year for a quarterly series: Quarter Seasonal Index Q1 73 Q2 82.8 Q3 107.8     Remember that the seasonal indices should average 100 so you should be able to infer the seasonal index for Q4.   Furthermore, suppose that the estimated coeffcients from a regression of the deseasonalized series on Time are given below:     Coefficients Intercept 2,494 Time 64.6 What is the forecast for period 69, if period 69 is a Q4? (please round your answer to 1 decimal place)

College Algebra
1st Edition
ISBN:9781938168383
Author:Jay Abramson
Publisher:Jay Abramson
Chapter6: Exponential And Logarithmic Functions
Section6.8: Fitting Exponential Models To Data
Problem 3TI: Table 6 shows the population, in thousands, of harbor seals in the Wadden Sea over the years 1997 to...
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QUESTION 30

  1. Suppose the following are the seasonal indices for the first three quarters of the year for a quarterly series:

Quarter

Seasonal Index

Q1

73

Q2

82.8

Q3

107.8

 

 



  1. Remember that the seasonal indices should average 100 so you should be able to infer the seasonal index for Q4.

     
    Furthermore, suppose that the estimated coeffcients from a regression of the deseasonalized series on Time are given below:

     

 

Coefficients

Intercept

2,494

Time

64.6



  1. What is the forecast for period 69, if period 69 is a Q4? (please round your answer to 1 decimal place)
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