Suppose the annual interest rate in Australia is 1.5% and the interest rate in the United States is 2%. Suppose the spot USD/AUD exchange rate is $73/AUD and the exchange rate on a futures contract for delivery in one year’s time is $75/AUD. (a) Suppose Australian Reserve Bank increases the cash rate, causing Australian interest rates to rise. All else equal, would the USD/AUD exchange rate increase, decrease, or stay the same? (b) An investor wants to save $6,000 USD for a year and is looking for the option with the highest guaranteed return in USD. Would an investor prefer to save $6,000 USD for a year in the United States or in Australia? To support your answer, calculate the profits under each scenario. (c) Does the interest rate parity hold? Provide a calculation to support your answer.

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Exchange Rate Risk

It is the possibility that the value of a currency will fluctuate in the future. In the wake of globalization, business establishments have increasingly ventured into international markets. The volume of international trade has prospered excellently in the near past and is expected to be more affluent in the future. The use of exchange-traded derivative financial instruments has been multi-folded to provide for the requirements of various MNCs and offshore potential investors. Most banks and financial institutions have helped integrate the global economies. Our Government has introduced some bold and extreme measures to fulfil the purpose behind the fiscal, industrial, and monetary policies. The enactment of GST is a huge step towards streamlining the taxation system of the country. Owing to Covid-19, this aspect of corporate risk management has become critical.