Suppose that Yt follows the stationary AR (1) model Yt=2.5+0.7Yt−1+ϵt, where ϵt is i.i.d. with E(ϵt)=0 and Var(ϵt)=9. Suppose that YT=102.3. Compute  Yt+1|t=E(Yt+1|Yt, Yt-1...).

Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
13th Edition
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Swokowski
Chapter5: Inverse, Exponential, And Logarithmic Functions
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 18T
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2. Suppose that Yt follows the stationary AR (1) model Yt=2.5+0.7Yt−1+ϵt, where ϵt is i.i.d. with E(ϵt)=0 and Var(ϵt)=9.

Suppose that YT=102.3. Compute  Yt+1|t=E(Yt+1|Yt, Yt-1...).

 

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