Suppose that you are offered the following "deal." You roll a six sided die. If you roll a 6, you win $9. If you roll a 4 or 5, you win $3. Otherwise, you pay $6. a. Complete the PDF Table. List the X values, where X is the profit, from smallest to largest. Round to 4 decimal places where appropriate. Probability Distribution Table X P(X) b. Find the expected profit. $ c. Interpret the expected value. O If you play many games you will likely lose on average very close to $0.50 per game. You will win this much if you play a game. This is the most likely amount of money you will win. (Round to the nearest cent)

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
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### Interactive Probability Exercise

**Scenario:**
You are offered the following deal:
- Roll a six-sided die.
- If you roll a 6, you win $9.
- If you roll a 4 or 5, you win $3.
- Otherwise, you pay $6.

#### Task Breakdown:
a. **Complete the Probability Distribution Table:**

Create a table with the X values (profit) arranged from smallest to largest. Include probabilities (P(X)) rounded to four decimal places.

| X   | P(X)  |
|-----|-------|
|     |       |
|     |       |
|     |       |
|     |       |

b. **Calculate the Expected Profit:**
- Find the expected profit and round it to the nearest cent.
- Input the value in the provided field: $ [Text Field]

c. **Interpret the Expected Value:**
- Choose one of the following interpretations:
  - If you play many games, you will likely lose on average very close to $0.50 per game.
  - You will win this much if you play a game.
  - This is the most likely amount of money you will win.

d. **Decision Making:**
- Based on the expected value, decide if you should play this game:
  - Yes, since the expected value is positive, you would be very likely to come home with more money if you played many games.
  - No, this is a gambling game and it is always a bad idea to gamble.
  - Yes, because you can win $9.00 which is greater than the $6.00 that you can lose.
  - No, since the expected value is negative, you would be very likely to come home with less money if you played many games.

### Reflection:
Consider probability, expected outcomes, and decision-making in uncertain situations. Use this exercise to analyze risk and reward in probability scenarios.
Transcribed Image Text:### Interactive Probability Exercise **Scenario:** You are offered the following deal: - Roll a six-sided die. - If you roll a 6, you win $9. - If you roll a 4 or 5, you win $3. - Otherwise, you pay $6. #### Task Breakdown: a. **Complete the Probability Distribution Table:** Create a table with the X values (profit) arranged from smallest to largest. Include probabilities (P(X)) rounded to four decimal places. | X | P(X) | |-----|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | b. **Calculate the Expected Profit:** - Find the expected profit and round it to the nearest cent. - Input the value in the provided field: $ [Text Field] c. **Interpret the Expected Value:** - Choose one of the following interpretations: - If you play many games, you will likely lose on average very close to $0.50 per game. - You will win this much if you play a game. - This is the most likely amount of money you will win. d. **Decision Making:** - Based on the expected value, decide if you should play this game: - Yes, since the expected value is positive, you would be very likely to come home with more money if you played many games. - No, this is a gambling game and it is always a bad idea to gamble. - Yes, because you can win $9.00 which is greater than the $6.00 that you can lose. - No, since the expected value is negative, you would be very likely to come home with less money if you played many games. ### Reflection: Consider probability, expected outcomes, and decision-making in uncertain situations. Use this exercise to analyze risk and reward in probability scenarios.
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