Suppose that you and a friend are playing cards and you decide to make a friendly wager. The bet is that you will draw two cards without replacement from a standard deck. If both cards are spades, your friend will pay you $7. Otherwise, you have to pay your friend $2. Step 1 of 2: What is the expected value of your bet? Round your answer to two decimal places. Losses must be expressed as negative values.
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- Suppose that you and a friend are playing cards and you decide to make a friendly wager. The bet is that you will draw two cards without replacement from a standard deck. If both cards are spades, your friend will pay you $7. Otherwise, you have to pay your friend $2. Step 2 of 2: If this same bet is made 543 times, how much would you expect to win or lose? Round your answer to two decimal places. Losses must be expressed as negative values.Suppose you play a game with a spinner. You play each game by spinning the spinner once. P(red) = P(blue) = Ķ, and P(green) = . If you land on red, you pay 10 pesos. If you land on blue, you don't pay or win anything. If you land on green, you win 10 pesos. What is the expected profit of the game?Consider a game where there is a $2,520 prize if a player correctly guesses the outcome of a fair 7-sided die roll.Cindy will only play this game if there is a nonnegative expected value, even with the risk of losing the payment amount.What is the most Cindy would be willing to pay?
- A wheel of fortune in a gambling casino has 54 different slots in which the wheel pointer can stop. Four of the 54 slots contain the number 9. For $3 bet on hitting a 9, if he or she succeeds, the gambler wins $16 plus return of the $3 bet. What is the expected value of this gambling game? (Present your answer in dollars with 2 decimal places but without $ sign)You are a coin trader. You have $1,000,000, and today one coin costs $2000. Tomorrow the coin will either cost $1000 or $4000, each with equal probability. Assume the prices are constant all day and change instantly at midnight. For each of the following, give a strategy and why it’s correct: (a) If you want to maximize the expected amount of money you have tomorrow, what should you do? (b) If you want to maximize the expected number of coins you have tomorrow, what should you do?Suppose that you graduate from college next year and you have two career options: 1) You will start a job in an investment bank paying a $100,000 annual salary. 2) You will start a Ph.D. in economics and, as a student, you will receive a $20,000 salary. You are bad with decisions, so you are letting a friend of yours decide for you by flipping a coin. The probabilities of options 1 and 2 are, therefore, each 50%. a) Illustrate, using indifference curves, your preferences regarding consumption choices in the two different states of the world. Assume that you are risk-averse. [Include also the 45 degrees line in your figure] b) Now show how the indifference curves would change if you were substantially more risk averse than before. Explain. c) Now show the indifference curves if you are risk neutral and if you are risk loving. d) Show your expected utility preferences from point a) mathematically.
- You and I play the following game. Hidden from you, I put a coin in my hand: with probability p it is a 10 pence coin and otherwise it is a 20 pence coin. You now guess which coin is in my hand: you guess it is 20 pence with probability s and otherwise you guess it is a 10 pence coin. You get to win the coin if you guess correctly and otherwise win nothing. What (in terms of p and s) is your expected gain in pence from playing this game once with me? Challenge: suppose we are going to play repeatedly and you want to maximise your gain and I wish to minimise my loss. What value of p should I choose and what value of s should you choose? (This question is somewhat ill-defined, but it does have an interesting possible answer.) (Note: anything labelled "challenge" will not be part of the hand-in.)You're a contestant on a TV game show. In the final round of the game, if contestants answer a question correctly, they will increase their current winnings of $3 million to $4 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $2,250,000. You believe you have a 25% chance of answering the question correctly. Ignoring your current winnings, your expected payoff from playing the final round of the game show is. Given that this is ______________ (POSITIVE/NEGATIVE), you___________ (SHOULD/ SHOULD NOT) play the final round of the game. (Hint: Enter a negative sign if the expected payoff is negative.) The lowest probability of a correct guess that would make the guessing in the final round profitable (in expected value) is (Hint: At what probability does playing the final round yield an expected value of zero?)A Bank has foreclosed on a home mortgage and is selling the house at auction. There are two bidders for the house, Zeke and Heidi. The bank does not know the willingness to pay of these three bidders for the house, but on the basis of its previous experience, the bank believes that each of these bidders has a probability of 1/3 of valuing it at $800,000, a probability of 1/3 of valuing at $600,000, and a probability of 1/3 of valuing it at $300,000. The bank believes that these probabilities are independent among buyers. If the bank sells the house by means of a second- bidder, sealed-bid auction, what will be the bank’s expected revenue from the sale? The answer is 455, 556. Please show the steps in details thank you!
- You're a contestant on a TV game show. In the final round of the game, if contestants answer a question correctly, they will increase their current winnings of $1 million to $3 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $750,000. You believe you have a 25% chance of answering the question correctly. Ignoring your current winnings, your expected payoff from playing the final round of the game show is [$ blank]. Given that this is positive [blank (positive/negative)], you should [blank (should/should not)] play the final round of the game. (Hint: Enter a negative sign if the expected payoff is negative.) The lowest probability of a correct guess that would make the guessing in the final round profitable (in expected value) is [blank]. (Hint: At what probability does playing the final round yield an expected value of zero?)Question 5 You negotiate with a retailer over a contract according to which the retailer would buy a large fraction of your current production for next year. The retailer is perfectly informed about consumer demand, but you do not know whether demand is high or low. You only know that the probability for high demand is 80%. If demand is high, the retailer's profit is £5 million minus what he pays to you according to your contract. If demand is low, the retailer's profit is £3 million minus what he pays to you. Your costs of producing the output specified in the contract are £1 million. You can make sequential offers for the retailer's total payment for you to deliver a fixed quantity of your production. As you know that your competitor is also seeking a similar contract with this retailer, and the retailer can only supply one firm due to limited shelf space, you know that you can only make at most two offers. If your first offer is rejected, the retailer will strike the deal with your…Here is my question!