Suppose that it takes at least 9 votes from a 12-member jury to convict adefendant. Suppose also that the probability that a juror votes a guilty personinnocent is .2, whereas the probability that the juror votes an innocent personguilty is .1. If each juror acts independently and if 65 percent of the defendantsare guilty, find the probability that for a randomly selected case the jury rendersa correct decision? (Hint: Use the law of total probability)
Compound Probability
Compound probability can be defined as the probability of the two events which are independent. It can be defined as the multiplication of the probability of two events that are not dependent.
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Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the subject of probability. Although there are many different concepts of probability, probability theory expresses the definition mathematically through a series of axioms. Usually, these axioms express probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure with values ranging from 0 to 1 to a set of outcomes known as the sample space. An event is a subset of these outcomes that is described.
Conditional Probability
By definition, the term probability is expressed as a part of mathematics where the chance of an event that may either occur or not is evaluated and expressed in numerical terms. The range of the value within which probability can be expressed is between 0 and 1. The higher the chance of an event occurring, the closer is its value to be 1. If the probability of an event is 1, it means that the event will happen under all considered circumstances. Similarly, if the probability is exactly 0, then no matter the situation, the event will never occur.
Suppose that it takes at least 9 votes from a 12-member jury to convict a
defendant. Suppose also that the
innocent is .2, whereas the probability that the juror votes an innocent person
guilty is .1. If each juror acts independently and if 65 percent of the defendants
are guilty, find the probability that for a randomly selected case the jury renders
a correct decision? (Hint: Use the law of total probability)
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