Suppose that it is equally likely for a child to be a boy or a girl. Suppose a parent tells you that she or he has 5 children. What is the probability that at least one is a boy given that at least 4 of the children are girls?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Suppose that it is equally likely for a child to be a boy or a girl. Suppose a parent tells you that she or he has 5 children. What is the probability that at least one is a boy given that at least 4 of the children are girls?

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Step 1

Let us denote B=boy and G=girl

Given that at least 4 of the children are girls. So the possible outcomes for that event is=(4G, 1B) and (5G)

We can have (4G, 1B) in 5!4!=5 ways.

We can have 5G in 1 way only.

So total (5+1)=6 outcomes have at least 4 girls. 

Among them 5 outcomes have 1 boy. 

 

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