Suppose that for the general population, 1 in 10000 people carries the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). A test for the presence of HIV yields either a positive (+) or negative (-) response. If the person has HIV the test correctly yields a positive (+) with probability 0.98. Similarly, if the person does not have HIV the test yields a negative (-) with probability 0.97. What is P[H | +], the conditional probability that a randomly chosen person has the HIV virus given that the person tests positive?

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
10th Edition
ISBN:9780470458365
Author:Erwin Kreyszig
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Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
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Q2)
Suppose that for the general population, 1 in 10000 people carries the human immunodeficiency
virus (HIV). A test for the presence of HIV yields either a positive (+) or negative (-) response. If
the person has HIV the test correctly yields a positive (+) with probability 0.98. Similarly, if the
person does not have HIV the test yields a negative (-) with probability 0.97. What is P[H|+],
the conditional probability that a randomly chosen person has the HIV virus given that the person
tests positive?
Transcribed Image Text:Q2) Suppose that for the general population, 1 in 10000 people carries the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). A test for the presence of HIV yields either a positive (+) or negative (-) response. If the person has HIV the test correctly yields a positive (+) with probability 0.98. Similarly, if the person does not have HIV the test yields a negative (-) with probability 0.97. What is P[H|+], the conditional probability that a randomly chosen person has the HIV virus given that the person tests positive?
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