Suppose an Investor is concerned about a Business Choice in which there are 3 prospects the Probabilities and Returns are given below: Probability Return

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
Publisher:NEWNAN
Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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### BNQ12.2

#### Case:
Suppose an **Investor** is concerned about a **Business Choice** in which there are **3 prospects**—the **Probabilities** and **Returns** are given below:

| Probability | Return |
|-------------|--------|
| 0.4         | $100   |
| 0.3         | 30     |
| 0.3         | -30    |

### Question:
What is the **Expected Value** of the **Uncertain Investment**?

---

To calculate the expected value of the uncertain investment, you multiply each return by its respective probability and sum these values:

\[ \text{Expected Value} = (0.4 \times 100) + (0.3 \times 30) + (0.3 \times -30) \]
Transcribed Image Text:### BNQ12.2 #### Case: Suppose an **Investor** is concerned about a **Business Choice** in which there are **3 prospects**—the **Probabilities** and **Returns** are given below: | Probability | Return | |-------------|--------| | 0.4 | $100 | | 0.3 | 30 | | 0.3 | -30 | ### Question: What is the **Expected Value** of the **Uncertain Investment**? --- To calculate the expected value of the uncertain investment, you multiply each return by its respective probability and sum these values: \[ \text{Expected Value} = (0.4 \times 100) + (0.3 \times 30) + (0.3 \times -30) \]
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