Suppose a COVID-19 is 85% sensitive and 82% specific. That is, the test will produce 85% true positive results for those that have the virus and 82% true negative results for those who do not. Suppose that 3.3% of people actually have the virus. If a randomly selected individual tests negative, what is the probability he or she does not have the virus?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Suppose a COVID-19 is 85% sensitive and 82% specific. That is, the test
will produce 85% true positive results for those that have the virus and
82% true negative results for those who do not. Suppose that 3.3% of
people actually have the virus. If a randomly selected individual tests
negative, what is the probability he or she does not have the virus?
YOUR ANSWER SHOULD BE BETWEEN O AND 100 AND ROUNDED TO 4
DECIMAL PLACES.
(e.g. 59.5321 would be 59.5321%)
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose a COVID-19 is 85% sensitive and 82% specific. That is, the test will produce 85% true positive results for those that have the virus and 82% true negative results for those who do not. Suppose that 3.3% of people actually have the virus. If a randomly selected individual tests negative, what is the probability he or she does not have the virus? YOUR ANSWER SHOULD BE BETWEEN O AND 100 AND ROUNDED TO 4 DECIMAL PLACES. (e.g. 59.5321 would be 59.5321%)
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