suitable apples. There is a 95% probability that the true mean number of apples per tree is between 375 and 520. If many random samples of size 40 are selected from the population of all trees in this large orchard, approximately 95% of the sample means will be between 375 and 520 apples. If many random samples of size 40 are selected from the population of all trees in this large orchard, about 95% of the intervals would capture the true mean number of suitable apples produced per tree.

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Author:Amos Gilat
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A farmer of a large apple orchard would like to estimate the true mean number of suitable apples produced per tree. He selects a random sample of 40 trees from his large orchard and determines with 95% confidence that the true mean number of suitable apples produced per tree is between 375 and 520. Which of these statements is a correct interpretation of the confidence level?

Approximately 95% of the trees in the orchard contain between 375 and 520 suitable apples.
There is a 95% probability that the true mean number of apples per tree is between 375 and 520.
If many random samples of size 40 are selected from the population of all trees in this large orchard, approximately 95% of the sample means will be between 375 and 520 apples.
If many random samples of size 40 are selected from the population of all trees in this large orchard, about 95% of the intervals would capture the true mean number of suitable apples produced per tree. 
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