Say that you are playing rock-scissors-paper with a friend. You have played with him several times and have realized he usually follows a pattern. So, after playing for a very (very!) long time you have realized that the probability that you win is 8/12, that you tie is 1/12 and that you loose is 3/12. Making use of that piece of information one day you tell him: I will pay $1 for playing with you. If I win I get my $1 back together with $1 from you. If we tie I only get my $1 back. If I loose I give you my $1. la) Compute your expected profit from this bet. Justify your answer. 1b) What is the fair value of this bet? Justify your answer.
Say that you are playing rock-scissors-paper with a friend. You have played with him several times and have realized he usually follows a pattern. So, after playing for a very (very!) long time you have realized that the probability that you win is 8/12, that you tie is 1/12 and that you loose is 3/12. Making use of that piece of information one day you tell him: I will pay $1 for playing with you. If I win I get my $1 back together with $1 from you. If we tie I only get my $1 back. If I loose I give you my $1. la) Compute your expected profit from this bet. Justify your answer. 1b) What is the fair value of this bet? Justify your answer.
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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