Santa’s sleigh is pulled by Rudolph and eight other reindeer. Rudolph always has a red nose whereas each of the other eight reindeer has a red nose if and only if they have a cold. The events that the reindeer catch cold are mutually independent; at any time, each reindeer has a cold with probability 1/4. Using the law of total probability, or otherwise, determine the probability that a randomly-chosen reindeer has a red nose.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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I have a question that I’m struggling on. Santa’s sleigh is pulled by Rudolph and eight other reindeer. Rudolph always has a red nose whereas each of the other eight reindeer has a red nose if and only if they have a cold. The events that the reindeer catch cold are mutually independent; at any time, each reindeer has a cold with probability 1/4. Using the law of total probability, or otherwise, determine the probability that a randomly-chosen reindeer has a red nose.
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