Rick Miller has just opened a new bakery in Frisco, Colorado, called Morning Fresh. In performing an economic analysis, Rick has determined that the marginal cost or loss for each dozen doughnuts sold is $4. The marginal profit is estimated to be $2.75 per dozen doughnuts. At this time, Rick is considering stocking 10, 15, 20, 25 or 30 dozen doughnuts. The probability of selling 10 dozen doughnuts is 10%. The chance of selling 15 Dozen doughnuts is 20%. There is a 30% chance that Morning Fresh will sell either 20 or 25 dozen doughnuts. Finally, there is a 10% chance of selling 30 dozen doughnuts, which is considered by Rick to be the most that Morning Fresh would be able to accommodate. What is your recommendation to Rick ?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Rick Miller has just opened a new bakery in Frisco, Colorado, called Morning Fresh. In performing an
economic analysis, Rick has determined that the marginal cost or loss for each dozen doughnuts sold is
$4. The marginal profit is estimated to be $2.75 per dozen doughnuts. At this time, Rick is considering
stocking 10, 15, 20, 25 or 30 dozen doughnuts. The probability of selling 10 dozen doughnuts is 10%. The
chance of selling 15 Dozen doughnuts is 20%. There is a 30% chance that Morning Fresh will sell either
20 or 25 dozen doughnuts. Finally, there is a 10% chance of selling 30 dozen doughnuts, which is
considered by Rick to be the most that Morning Fresh would be able to accommodate. What is your
recommendation to Rick ?
Transcribed Image Text:Rick Miller has just opened a new bakery in Frisco, Colorado, called Morning Fresh. In performing an economic analysis, Rick has determined that the marginal cost or loss for each dozen doughnuts sold is $4. The marginal profit is estimated to be $2.75 per dozen doughnuts. At this time, Rick is considering stocking 10, 15, 20, 25 or 30 dozen doughnuts. The probability of selling 10 dozen doughnuts is 10%. The chance of selling 15 Dozen doughnuts is 20%. There is a 30% chance that Morning Fresh will sell either 20 or 25 dozen doughnuts. Finally, there is a 10% chance of selling 30 dozen doughnuts, which is considered by Rick to be the most that Morning Fresh would be able to accommodate. What is your recommendation to Rick ?
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