research specific crime trends and patterns. What insights can we gain from this data? Provide examples of how this data might help us better understand the causes of crime.
research specific crime trends and patterns. What insights can we gain from this data? Provide examples of how this data might help us better understand the causes of crime.
Summary
Crime rates vary. In some populations and in some periods, the prevalence of crime is much greater than in other populations and at other time periods. Accounting for these findings is an enormously important task because if we can understand the causal processes that underlie variation then we may be in a position to enact policy changes that can bring about changes in the volume of crime in society at any given point in time. Criminologists have made significant progress in both identifying the “risk factors” that seem to relate to higher rates of offending and in constructing plausible explanatory theories that can potentially account for the patterns that are found. We have argued that these macro-level theoretical explanations are the most salient in understanding why it is that temporal and spatial variation in offending occurs. We have also suggested that evolutionary explanations can contribute to our understanding in important ways and hence are relevant for furthering our understanding of the patterns that are found. Indeed, we think that there is substantial scope to build integrated explanatory accounts that incorporate some of the important insights from evolutionary theory—especially those of cultural evolutionary theory—with those developed by mainstream criminologists.
Abstract
Violent crime rates may define perceptions regarding community safety. Data mining and predictive analytics can be used to operationalize Criminal Investigative Analysis, or the behavioral analysis of violent crime. Similar to the use of advanced analytics in other domains, behaviorally segmenting crime based on type, nature, and motive can provide novel, operationally relevant and actionable insight. These methods can be used to support motive determination and enhanced investigative efficacy, as well as crime prevention through information-based approaches to anticipation and influence. Violent crime examples and case studies are provided to illustrate concepts.
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