QUESTION TWO a. Briefly evaluate the factors that may prevent the purchasing power parity from holding in real economies. b. Assume the following information: £ Spot rate = C5.20/€ 12-month forward rate = C6.00/£ C Interest rate = 26% per annum U.K. interest rate = 2% per annum i. Given the information above, does interest rate parity hold? What should be the 12- month forward rate, if interest rate parity holds? ii. How can an investor profit from this anomaly if she can easily borrow the equivalent of £1 million in either pounds or cedis to invest? How much profit can she make?
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- Suppose the dollar interest rate and the pound sterling interest rate are the same, 6 percent per year. What is the relation between the current equilibrium dollar/pound exchange rate and its expected future level? O A. Expected dollar/pound exchange rate is higher than the current one. O B. Expected dollar/pound exchange rate is lower than the current one. C. Expected dollar/pound exchange rate is equal to the current one. O D. One cannot tell given the information above. Suppose the expected future exchange rate, $1.44 per pound, and the US interest rate remain constant, while Britain's interest rate rises to 8 percent per year. What is the new equilibrium dollar/pound exchange rate? New equilibrium exchange rate is $ per pound. (Enter your response to the nearest penny.)Market observes the “exchange rates” as of today:($1/$0)=0.95 , ($2/$0)=0.87 1. What is the implied interest rate between time t=0 and t=2 ? 2. Now there is a project with three certain cashflows:CF0=−$10MMCF1=$5MMCF2=$7MMWhat is NPV0? 3. How much is CF1 worth at t=2?Suppose current one-year interest rate in Europe is 5%, whereas one-year interest rate in the U.S. is 3%. Assume the current spot price of euro (EUR) is $1.10. Answer questions a) and b) below. If the exchange rate movement is consistent with the international Fisher effect (IFE), what will the spot price of EUR in one year be? Consider a trader who does not believe the IFE holds. The trader has decided to borrow $110,000 to invest in EUR-denominated deposits for one year without hedging. Recall the current EUR spot rate is $1.10. If the EUR spot rate in one year turns out to be $1.09, what will be the percentage return on this trading strategy?
- Assume that spot rate of New Zealand dollar is AUD 0.64/NZD, the 1-year forward rate of New Zealand dollar is AUD 0.62/NZD, 1-year interest rate on NZD is 9% and 1-year interest rate on AUD is 6%. If there is a possible arbitrage opportunity, the appropriate arbitrage strategy should be and the rate of return from covered interest arbitrage would be arbitrage; %. Select one: a. Inward; 0.38 b. Outward; 9.42 c. Inward; 9.42 d. Outward; 0.38It is given that dP/dt = rP (r being the annually compounded interest rate and P is the amount in the account at any given time). Suppose that an account earns at an annual rate of r percent compounded continuously and a person is drawing an income of H dollars per year withdrawn continuously (impossible, but a modeling assumption). Use phase line analysis to analyze the behavior of the account. Discuss the meaning of any equilibrium points and their stability. If r = 10% (a reasonable rate for long-term stock investments), and H = $10,000, how long should an initial investment of $50,000 be left untouched so that when withdrawals begin the capital is not depleted?Use the following information about today's U.S. Treasury STRIP yield curve to answer questions 19-21. One year spot rate Two year spot rate Three year spot rate 1.95 % p.a. 2.30% p.a. 2.45% p.a. 19. What is the market consensus expectation of one year spot rates for delivery one year from now? a. 1.95% p.a. b. 2.65% p.a. c. 2.70% p.a. d. 2.30% p.a. e. 2.75% p.a. 20. What is the market consensus expectation of one year spot rates for delivery two years from now? a. 1.95% p.a. b. 2.65% p.a. c. 2.70% p.a. d. 2.30% p.a. e. 2.75% p.a. 21. How is the one year spot rate expected to change over the next year? a. An increase of 8 basis points. b. An increase of 50 basis points. c. A decrease of 5 basis points. d. An increase of 70 basis points. e. An increase of 35 basis points.
- Using the UIP equation, assume that the expected future rate (after one year) for euros (in terms of dollars) equals $1.20, while the current spot rate is 1.15. The current interest rate on euro deposits is 2%, and the interest rate on dollar deposits is 3%. Should you invest in the US or in Europe? Neither one In the US In Europe It is indifferentCurrently, you canexchange 1 euro for 1.25 dollars in the 180-dayforward market, and the risk-free rate on 180-daysecurities is 6% in the United States and 4% inFrance. Does interest rate parity hold? If not, whichsecurities offer the highest expected return?Question 2 In 6-month from today, a U.S. based company will receive 2,000,000 Australian dollars (AUD) and the company wants to hedge the exchange rate risk. The expected AUD spot rate in 6-month will either appreciate by 5% (p.a) with 40% probability or depreciate by 10% (p.a.) with 60% probability. All rates are continuous compounding (please round your answers to 4 decimals in the exchange rate calculations). As the financial manager of the company, you look at Bloomberg and collect the following information: • U.S. interest rate: . . 4% p.a. 5% p.a. 1 AUD=0.63 USD Spot rate: Call option premium 0.03 USD, with exercise exchange rate 1 AUD-0.65 USD and 6-month maturity Put option premium 0.02 USD, with exercise exchange rate 1 AUD-0.64 USD and 6-month maturity Australian interest rate: 1) Calculate the 6-month forward exchange rate, describe how a forward agreement can be used to hedge the receivable money, and calculate the resulting amount of USD in 6 months.
- If you want to forecast the USD versus the Euro, what predictors should you consider respectively in (i) the short term ; (ii) the medium term; and (iii) the long term?Required:a. Calculate the dollar proceeds from the FI’s loan portfolio at the end of the year, the return on the FI’s loan portfolio, and the net return for the FI if the pound spot foreign exchange rate falls to $1.20/£1 and the lira spot foreign exchange rate falls to $0.156/TL1 over the year.b. Calculate the dollar proceeds from the FI’s loan portfolio at the end of the year, the return on the FI’s loan portfolio, and the net return for the FI if the pound spot foreign exchange rate rises to $1.40/£1 and the lira spot foreign exchange rate rises to $0.17/TL1 over the year.c. Suppose that the FI funds the $250 million U.S. loans with $250 million one-year U.S. CD at a rate of 4 percent; funds $150 equivalent British loans with $150 million equivalent one-year pound CDs at a rate of 5 percent; funds $100 million equivalent Turkish loans with $100 million equivalent one-year Turkish lira CDs at a rate of 6 percent. Assume no other changes. What will the FI’s balance sheet look like…Find the hedge ratio a 1-period at-the-money put option on ¥300,000. The spot exchange rate is ¥100 = $1.00. In the next period, the yen can increase in dollar value by 15 percent or decrease by 10 percent. The risk-free rate in dollars is i$ = 5%; The risk-free rate in yen is i¥ = 1%. A.-0.44 B.-0.66 C.-0.60 D.-0.40