Question 3 The spot dollar-euro rate is $1.20/€1 and the forward rate is $1.15/€1. You expect the spot dollar-euro rate to be $1.05/€1 in one year's time. You have €1 million to speculate with using the forward exchange market. (i) Is the euro interest rate higher or lower than the dollar? Explain your reasoning.  (ii) Do you buy or sell €1 million in the forward market?  (iii) What is your profit in both euros and dollars if you are correct and the spot dollar- euro rate is $1.05/€1 in one year’s time? (Show your working in full) (iv) What is your loss in both euros and dollars if you are wrong and the spot dollar-euro rate is $1.40/€1 in one year’s time? (Show your working in full)

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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Question 3

The spot dollar-euro rate is $1.20/€1 and the forward rate is $1.15/€1. You expect the spot dollar-euro rate to be $1.05/€1 in one year's time. You have €1 million to speculate with using the forward exchange market.

(i) Is the euro interest rate higher or lower than the dollar? Explain your reasoning. 

(ii) Do you buy or sell €1 million in the forward market? 

(iii) What is your profit in both euros and dollars if you are correct and the spot dollar- euro rate is $1.05/€1 in one year’s time? (Show your working in full)

(iv) What is your loss in both euros and dollars if you are wrong and the spot dollar-euro rate is $1.40/€1 in one year’s time? (Show your working in full) 

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