Question 2. Consider the financing decision of a new investment opportunity for the four firms. The new investment opportunity yields a return of Rs. 1.2 at the end of the period with an initial investment of Rs. 1 in the beginning of the period. Assume the rate of interest is zero and the investors are competitive. The types of the firms are T1, T2, T3 and T4. Each firm has an existing asset to generate a fixed returns plus a random part Z. The random variable Z follows a Bernoulli distribution as Z= 1.5 or -1.5 with equal probability. The prior belief about the firms type and their fixed returns are given by T1: 0.3 P(T1) = 0.01 T2: 1.5 P(T2)= 0.45 T3: 20 P(T3) = 0.09 T4: 1.6 P(T4) = 0.45 (Note that given the fixed returns any firm say T1 has the total cash flow at the end of the period is 0.30+Z+1.2 if it undertakes the investment; or 0.30+Z if it does not undertake the new investment) 2

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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Question 2.
Consider the financing decision of a new investment opportunity for the four firms. The new
investment opportunity yields a return of Rs. 1.2 at the end of the period with an initial
investment of Rs. 1 in the beginning of the period. Assume the rate of interest is zero and the
investors are competitive. The types of the firms are T1, T2, T3 and T4. Each firm has an
existing asset to generate a fixed returns plus a random part Z. The random variable Z follows
a Bernoulli distribution as Z= 1.5 or -1.5 with equal probability. The prior belief about the
firms type and their fixed returns are given by
T1: 0.3 P(TI) = 0.01
T2: 1.5
P(T2)= 0.45
T3: 20
P(T3) = 0.09
T4: 1.6
P(T4) = 0.45
(Note that given the fixed returns any firm say T1 has the total cash flow at the end of the
period is 0.30+Z+1.2 if it undertakes the investment; or 0.30+Z if it does not undertake the
new investment)
2
Each firm decides whether to finance the new investment with either debt or equity or to pass
up. Derive perfect Bayesian equilibrium (equilibria) of the financing problem.
10
Transcribed Image Text:Question 2. Consider the financing decision of a new investment opportunity for the four firms. The new investment opportunity yields a return of Rs. 1.2 at the end of the period with an initial investment of Rs. 1 in the beginning of the period. Assume the rate of interest is zero and the investors are competitive. The types of the firms are T1, T2, T3 and T4. Each firm has an existing asset to generate a fixed returns plus a random part Z. The random variable Z follows a Bernoulli distribution as Z= 1.5 or -1.5 with equal probability. The prior belief about the firms type and their fixed returns are given by T1: 0.3 P(TI) = 0.01 T2: 1.5 P(T2)= 0.45 T3: 20 P(T3) = 0.09 T4: 1.6 P(T4) = 0.45 (Note that given the fixed returns any firm say T1 has the total cash flow at the end of the period is 0.30+Z+1.2 if it undertakes the investment; or 0.30+Z if it does not undertake the new investment) 2 Each firm decides whether to finance the new investment with either debt or equity or to pass up. Derive perfect Bayesian equilibrium (equilibria) of the financing problem. 10
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