Q2. Preferences and utility Let's assume that country A prefers not to make additional concessions (outcome C1) to country B than granting those concessions (outcome C2), but a contin­ued war (outcome C3) would be worse than making the additional concessions (C2). The following utility function over the outcomes specifies the intensity of preferences for country A over the outcomes: u(C1) = 1, u(C2) = 0.3, and u(C3) = 0.  Country A can choose to refuse concessions (action A1) or allow concessions (action A2). The outcome that will occur is a function of the "type" of country B's leader. If country A refuses concession (A1), country B will not initiate a war (outcome C1) if country B's leader is amicable, while it will enter a war (outcome C3) if the leader is belligerent. There is a probability p(S1) = 0.6 that country B's leader is amicable and a probability p(S2) = 0.4  that country he's belligerent.  If country A allows concession (A2), both in case of country A is amicable p(S1) and belligerent p(s2), outcome (C2) is realized.    Q3. What is the expected utility of action A1? EU(A1)=0.30   EU(A1)=0.40   EU(A1)=0.60   EU(A1)=0.70   EU(A1)=0.72   Q2. Preferences and utility Let's assume that country A prefers not to make additional concessions (outcome C1) to country B than granting those concessions (outcome C2), but a contin­ued war (outcome C3) would be worse than making the additional concessions (C2). The following utility function over the outcomes specifies the intensity of preferences for country A over the outcomes: u(C1) = 1, u(C2) = 0.3, and u(C3) = 0.  Country A can choose to refuse concessions (action A1) or allow concessions (action A2). The outcome that will occur is a function of the "type" of country B's leader. If country A refuses concession (A1), country B will not initiate a war (outcome C1) if country B's leader is amicable, while it will enter a war (outcome C3) if the leader is belligerent. There is a probability p(S1) = 0.6 that country B's leader is amicable and a probability p(S2) = 0.4  that country he's belligerent.  If country A allows concession (A2), both in case of country A is amicable p(S1) and belligerent p(s2), outcome (C2) is realized.      Q3. What is the expected utility of action A1? EU(A1)=0.30   EU(A1)=0.40   EU(A1)=0.60   EU(A1)=0.70   EU(A1)=0.72       Q4. What is the expected utility of action A2? EU(A2)=0.30   EU(A2)=0.40   EU(A2)=0.60   EU(A2)=0.70   EU(A2)=0.72       Q5. What action should country A choose? Action A1   Action A2   Q6. What action should country A choose if u(C2) were equal to 0.5 rather than 0.3? Action A1   Action A2     Q7. What action should country A choose if u(C2) were equal to 0.3 but p(S1) were equal to 0.25 (and p(S2) = 0.75)? Action A1   Action A2

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Author:NEWNAN
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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Q2.
Preferences and utility

Let's assume that country A prefers not to make additional concessions (outcome C1) to country B than granting those concessions (outcome C2), but a contin­ued war (outcome C3) would be worse than making the additional concessions (C2). The following utility function over the outcomes specifies the intensity of preferences for country A over the outcomes: u(C1) = 1, u(C2) = 0.3, and u(C3) = 0. 

Country A can choose to refuse concessions (action A1) or allow concessions (action A2). The outcome that will occur is a function of the "type" of country B's leader.

If country A refuses concession (A1), country B will not initiate a war (outcome C1) if country B's leader is amicable, while it will enter a war (outcome C3) if the leader is belligerent. There is a probability p(S1) = 0.6 that country B's leader is amicable and a probability p(S2) = 0.4  that country he's belligerent. 

If country A allows concession (A2), both in case of country A is amicable p(S1) and belligerent p(s2), outcome (C2) is realized. 
 
Q3.
What is the expected utility of action A1?
  • EU(A1)=0.30
     
  • EU(A1)=0.40
     
  • EU(A1)=0.60
     
  • EU(A1)=0.70
     
  • EU(A1)=0.72
     
Q2.
Preferences and utility

Let's assume that country A prefers not to make additional concessions (outcome C1) to country B than granting those concessions (outcome C2), but a contin­ued war (outcome C3) would be worse than making the additional concessions (C2). The following utility function over the outcomes specifies the intensity of preferences for country A over the outcomes: u(C1) = 1, u(C2) = 0.3, and u(C3) = 0. 

Country A can choose to refuse concessions (action A1) or allow concessions (action A2). The outcome that will occur is a function of the "type" of country B's leader.

If country A refuses concession (A1), country B will not initiate a war (outcome C1) if country B's leader is amicable, while it will enter a war (outcome C3) if the leader is belligerent. There is a probability p(S1) = 0.6 that country B's leader is amicable and a probability p(S2) = 0.4  that country he's belligerent. 

If country A allows concession (A2), both in case of country A is amicable p(S1) and belligerent p(s2), outcome (C2) is realized. 
 
 
Q3.
What is the expected utility of action A1?
  • EU(A1)=0.30
     
  • EU(A1)=0.40
     
  • EU(A1)=0.60
     
  • EU(A1)=0.70
     
  • EU(A1)=0.72
     
 
 
Q4. What is the expected utility of action A2?
  • EU(A2)=0.30
     
  • EU(A2)=0.40
     
  • EU(A2)=0.60
     
  • EU(A2)=0.70
     
  • EU(A2)=0.72
     
 
 
Q5.
What action should country A choose?
  • Action A1
     
  • Action A2
     
Q6.
What action should country A choose if u(C2) were equal to 0.5 rather than 0.3?
  • Action A1
     
  • Action A2
     
 
Q7.
What action should country A choose if u(C2) were equal to 0.3 but p(S1) were equal to 0.25 (and p(S2) = 0.75)?
  • Action A1
     
  • Action A2
     
 
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