Problem 11-27 Scenario Analysis [LO2] Consider a project to supply Detroit with 27,000 tons of machine screws annually for automobile production. You will need an initial $5,300,000 investment in threading equipment to get the project started; the project will last for 6 years. The accounting department estimates that annual fixed costs will be $1,275,000 and that variable costs should be $240 per ton; accounting will depreciate the initial fixed asset investment straight-line to zero over the 6-year project life. It also estimates a salvage value of $650,000 after dismantling costs. The marketing department estimates that the automakers will let the contract at a selling price of $350 per ton. The engineering department estimates you will need an initial net working capital investment of $510,000. You require a return of 14 percent and face a tax rate of 25 percent on this project. a-1. What is the estimated OCF for this project? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to the nearest whole number, e.g., 32.) a- What is the estimated NPV for this project? (Do not round intermediate calculations 2. and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) b. Suppose you believe that the accounting department's initial cost and salvage value projections are accurate only to within ±5 percent; the marketing department's price estimate is accurate only to within ±15 percent; and the engineering department's net working capital estimate is accurate only to within ±10 percent. What are your worst- case and best-case NPVs for this project? (A negative answer should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answers to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) a-1. OCF a-2. NPV b. Worst-case NPV b. Best-case NPV

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Chapter12: Cash Flow Estimation And Risk Analysis
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Problem 11-27 Scenario Analysis [LO2]
Consider a project to supply Detroit with 27,000 tons of machine screws annually for
automobile production. You will need an initial $5,300,000 investment in threading
equipment to get the project started; the project will last for 6 years. The accounting
department estimates that annual fixed costs will be $1,275,000 and that variable costs
should be $240 per ton; accounting will depreciate the initial fixed asset investment
straight-line to zero over the 6-year project life. It also estimates a salvage value of
$650,000 after dismantling costs. The marketing department estimates that the
automakers will let the contract at a selling price of $350 per ton. The engineering
department estimates you will need an initial net working capital investment of
$510,000. You require a return of 14 percent and face a tax rate of 25 percent on this
project.
a-1. What is the estimated OCF for this project? (Do not round intermediate calculations
and round your answer to the nearest whole number, e.g., 32.)
a- What is the estimated NPV for this project? (Do not round intermediate calculations
2. and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)
b. Suppose you believe that the accounting department's initial cost and salvage value
projections are accurate only to within ±5 percent; the marketing department's price
estimate is accurate only to within ±15 percent; and the engineering department's net
working capital estimate is accurate only to within ±10 percent. What are your worst-
case and best-case NPVs for this project? (A negative answer should be indicated
by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answers
to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)
a-1. OCF
a-2. NPV
b. Worst-case NPV
b. Best-case NPV
Transcribed Image Text:Problem 11-27 Scenario Analysis [LO2] Consider a project to supply Detroit with 27,000 tons of machine screws annually for automobile production. You will need an initial $5,300,000 investment in threading equipment to get the project started; the project will last for 6 years. The accounting department estimates that annual fixed costs will be $1,275,000 and that variable costs should be $240 per ton; accounting will depreciate the initial fixed asset investment straight-line to zero over the 6-year project life. It also estimates a salvage value of $650,000 after dismantling costs. The marketing department estimates that the automakers will let the contract at a selling price of $350 per ton. The engineering department estimates you will need an initial net working capital investment of $510,000. You require a return of 14 percent and face a tax rate of 25 percent on this project. a-1. What is the estimated OCF for this project? (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to the nearest whole number, e.g., 32.) a- What is the estimated NPV for this project? (Do not round intermediate calculations 2. and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) b. Suppose you believe that the accounting department's initial cost and salvage value projections are accurate only to within ±5 percent; the marketing department's price estimate is accurate only to within ±15 percent; and the engineering department's net working capital estimate is accurate only to within ±10 percent. What are your worst- case and best-case NPVs for this project? (A negative answer should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answers to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.) a-1. OCF a-2. NPV b. Worst-case NPV b. Best-case NPV
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