Plot the appraisal price in dollars that can be paid for combined lease bonus and speculative drilling cost using the following risk: 1,5, and 10 %. The prospect is a 80- acre tract, pay thickness is 100 ft. The probability of dry hole is set at 50%. If the well is successful, recovery in bbls per acre-ft may be as low as 100 to as high as 200, with most probable recovery being 150 bbl/acre-ft. Operating profit may be taken as $ 3 per barrel. Completion costs for a successful well will exceed the cost of a dry well by $40,000. Assume the exploration budget is 0, 3, 6 and 10 MM dollars

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Plot the appraisal price in dollars that can be paid for combined lease bonus and speculative drilling cost using the following risk: 1,5, and 10 %. The prospect is a 80- acre tract, pay thickness is 100 ft. The probability of dry hole is set at 50%. If the well is successful, recovery in bbls per acre-ft may be as low as 100 to as high as 200, with most probable recovery being 150 bbl/acre-ft. Operating profit may be taken as $ 3 per barrel. Completion costs for a successful well will exceed the cost of a dry well by $40,000. Assume the exploration budget is 0, 3, 6 and 10 MM dollars

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