Philosophers and other researchers writing about probability have argued about how to best interpret the mathematical apparatus. Here are three broad views about how to interpret probability claims. First, we might take probability claims to be claims about the frequency of some event in a sequence of events. For example, if I flip a coin 100 times and "Heads" comes up 53 times, I might say that the probability of "Heads" in that sequence of flips is 53 in 100; the frequency with which the event "Heads comes up" occurs in the sequence of flips. Second, we might take probability claims to be claims about the degree to which we believe that some sentence is true. For example, if I am thinking about betting on the next flip of the coin, I might believe that "Heads" will come up more strongly than I believe that "Tails" will come up. Third, we might take probability claims to be claims about the degree to which our evidence supports a sentence. For example, we might know that at least one of three coin flips is "Heads" and ask how much support that gives to the claim that all three coin flips are "Heads." Answer the following questions. a) select an interpretation of probability from the prompt above to defend. b) Give reasons for selecting/endorsing the interpretation you selected. c) Give reasons for rejecting the interpretations you did not select.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Philosophers and other researchers writing about probability have argued about how to best interpret the mathematical apparatus. Here are three broad views about how to interpret probability claims. First, we might take probability claims to be claims about the frequency of some event in a sequence of events. For example, if I flip a coin 100 times and "Heads" comes up 53 times, I might say that the probability of "Heads" in that sequence of flips is 53 in 100; the frequency with which the event "Heads comes up" occurs in the sequence of flips. Second, we might take probability claims to be claims about the degree to which we believe that some sentence is true. For example, if I am thinking about betting on the next flip of the coin, I might believe that "Heads" will come up more strongly than I believe that "Tails" will come up. Third, we might take probability claims to be claims about the degree to which our evidence supports a sentence. For example, we might know that at least one of three coin flips is "Heads" and ask how much support that gives to the claim that all three coin flips are "Heads."

Answer the following questions.

a) select an interpretation of probability from the prompt above to defend.

b) Give reasons for selecting/endorsing the interpretation you selected.

c) Give reasons for rejecting the interpretations you did not select.

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