Pediatric Partners is evaluating a project with the following net cash flows and probabilities: Year Prob.=0.25 Prob.=0.50 Prob.=0.25 ($75,000) 1 $ 2 $ 3 $ 4 $ 5 $ ($75,000) ($75,000) 15,000 $ 20,000 $ 30,000 20,000 $ 30,000 20,000 $ 30,000 20,000 $ 30,000 30,000 $ 40,000 15,000 $ 15,000 $ 15,000 $ 20,000 $ The year 5 values include salvage values. Pediatric Partners' corporate cost of capital is 12% (a) What is the project's expected NPV assuming average risk? (b) What are the project's most likely, worst-case, and best case NPVS? (c) What is the project's expected NPV on the basis of the scenario analysis? (d) What is the project's standard deviation of NPV?

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Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Pediatric Partners is evaluating a project with the following net cash flows and probabilities:

| Year | Prob.=0.25 | Prob.=0.50 | Prob.=0.25 |
|------|------------|------------|------------|
| 0    | ($75,000)  | ($75,000)  | ($75,000)  |
| 1    | $15,000    | $20,000    | $30,000    |
| 2    | $15,000    | $20,000    | $30,000    |
| 3    | $15,000    | $20,000    | $30,000    |
| 4    | $15,000    | $20,000    | $30,000    |
| 5    | $20,000    | $30,000    | $40,000    |

The year 5 values include salvage values. Pediatric Partners' corporate cost of capital is 12%.

**Questions:**

(a) What is the project's expected NPV assuming average risk?

(b) What are the project's most likely, worst-case, and best-case NPVs?

(c) What is the project's expected NPV on the basis of the scenario analysis?

(d) What is the project's standard deviation of NPV?

**Explanation of Probabilities and Cash Flows:**

- There are three sets of cash flow scenarios for the project, each associated with a different probability: 0.25 for the first scenario, 0.50 for the second scenario, and 0.25 for the third scenario.
- The initial investment is consistent across all scenarios at ($75,000).
- Cash flows for years 1 to 5 vary across the three scenarios, with the third scenario (Prob.=0.25) having the highest potential inflows each year.
- The project's cash flows incorporate salvage values in Year 5.

These scenarios help in evaluating the project's potential outcomes based on varying assumptions and market conditions.
Transcribed Image Text:Pediatric Partners is evaluating a project with the following net cash flows and probabilities: | Year | Prob.=0.25 | Prob.=0.50 | Prob.=0.25 | |------|------------|------------|------------| | 0 | ($75,000) | ($75,000) | ($75,000) | | 1 | $15,000 | $20,000 | $30,000 | | 2 | $15,000 | $20,000 | $30,000 | | 3 | $15,000 | $20,000 | $30,000 | | 4 | $15,000 | $20,000 | $30,000 | | 5 | $20,000 | $30,000 | $40,000 | The year 5 values include salvage values. Pediatric Partners' corporate cost of capital is 12%. **Questions:** (a) What is the project's expected NPV assuming average risk? (b) What are the project's most likely, worst-case, and best-case NPVs? (c) What is the project's expected NPV on the basis of the scenario analysis? (d) What is the project's standard deviation of NPV? **Explanation of Probabilities and Cash Flows:** - There are three sets of cash flow scenarios for the project, each associated with a different probability: 0.25 for the first scenario, 0.50 for the second scenario, and 0.25 for the third scenario. - The initial investment is consistent across all scenarios at ($75,000). - Cash flows for years 1 to 5 vary across the three scenarios, with the third scenario (Prob.=0.25) having the highest potential inflows each year. - The project's cash flows incorporate salvage values in Year 5. These scenarios help in evaluating the project's potential outcomes based on varying assumptions and market conditions.
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