Oxnard Petro Ltd. is buying hurricane insurance for its off-coast oil drilling platform. During the next five years, the probability of total loss of only the above-water superstructure ($200 million) is .25, the probability of total loss of the facility ($900 million) is .25, and the probability of no loss is .50. Find the expected loss. (Input the amount as a positive value.)
Oxnard Petro Ltd. is buying hurricane insurance for its off-coast oil drilling platform. During the next five years, the probability of total loss of only the above-water superstructure ($200 million) is .25, the probability of total loss of the facility ($900 million) is .25, and the probability of no loss is .50. Find the expected loss. (Input the amount as a positive value.)
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
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Transcribed Image Text:**Title: Calculating Expected Loss for Offshore Oil Platform Insurance**
**Scenario:**
Oxnard Petro Ltd. is purchasing hurricane insurance for its offshore oil drilling platform. The insurance covers the possible loss scenarios over the next five years:
1. **Total Loss of Only the Above-Water Superstructure:**
- Value: $200 million
- Probability: 0.25
2. **Total Loss of the Entire Facility:**
- Value: $900 million
- Probability: 0.25
3. **No Loss:**
- Probability: 0.50
**Objective:**
Calculate the expected loss. (Note: Input the amount as a positive value.)
**Expected Loss Calculation:**
Expected Loss = (Probability of Loss 1 * Loss 1 Value) + (Probability of Loss 2 * Loss 2 Value) + (Probability of No Loss * No Loss Value)
- Probability of Loss 1: 0.25
- Loss 1 Value: $200 million
- Probability of Loss 2: 0.25
- Loss 2 Value: $900 million
- Probability of No Loss: 0.50
- No Loss Value: $0 million
**Formula Application:**
Expected Loss = (0.25 * 200) + (0.25 * 900) + (0.50 * 0)
Expected Loss = 50 + 225 + 0
Expected Loss = $275 million
**Conclusion:**
The expected loss for Oxnard Petro Ltd.'s insurance on their offshore oil platform is $275 million.
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