ocrats have 259 electoral votes and Republicans have 233. The Democrat has an80% chance of winning Wisconsin, a 50% chance o

Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897, 0079039898, 2018
18th Edition
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
Publisher:Carter
Chapter10: Statistics
Section10.6: Summarizing Categorical Data
Problem 13CYU
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Suppose that after the 2020 presidential election there are three races that are too close to call: Wisconsin,Michigan, and Pennsylvania. In order to become president, a candidate must receive 270 electoral votes ormore. Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes, Michigan has 16, and Pennsylvania has 20. Suppose that in theother decided races, Democrats have 259 electoral votes and Republicans have 233. The Democrat has an80% chance of winning Wisconsin, a 50% chance of winning Michigan, and a 10% chance of winningPennsylvania. A statistician defines a random variableXto be +1 if the Democrat wins,−1 if theRepublican wins, and 0 if neither candidate reaches 270 electoral votes. Find the probability densityfunction ofX. (Hint: Make this easier by figuring out the scenario in which the Republican wins or there isa tie!)

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