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Muñoz Corporation's decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant or a large plant. The best selection of plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars. Long-Run Demand Plant Size Low Medium High Small 250 300 300 Large 150 300 600 (a) What is the decision to be made, and what is the chance event for Muñoz problem? The decision is to choose the best plant size . There are 2 alternatives. The chance event is the market demand for the new product line There are 3 possible outcomes. (b) Construct an influence diagram. (Submit a file with a maximum size of 1 MB.) Choose File No file chosen This answer has not been graded yet. (c) Construct a decision tree. (Submit a file with a maximum size of 1 MB.) Choose File No file chosen This answer has not been graded yet. (d) Recommend a decision based on the use of the optimistic, conservative, and minimax regret approaches. The recommended decision using the optimistic approach is to select the large plant regret approach is to select the large plant The recommended decision using the conservative approach is to select the small plant ✔ ✔ The recommended decision using the minimax

Muñoz Corporation's decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant or a large plant. The best selection of plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars. Long-Run Demand Plant Size Low Medium High Small 250 300 300 Large 150 300 600 (a) What is the decision to be made, and what is the chance event for Muñoz problem? The decision is to choose the best plant size . There are 2 alternatives. The chance event is the market demand for the new product line There are 3 possible outcomes. (b) Construct an influence diagram. (Submit a file with a maximum size of 1 MB.) Choose File No file chosen This answer has not been graded yet. (c) Construct a decision tree. (Submit a file with a maximum size of 1 MB.) Choose File No file chosen This answer has not been graded yet. (d) Recommend a decision based on the use of the optimistic, conservative, and minimax regret approaches. The recommended decision using the optimistic approach is to select the large plant regret approach is to select the large plant The recommended decision using the conservative approach is to select the small plant ✔ ✔ The recommended decision using the minimax

Practical Management Science
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 30P
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Muñoz Corporation's decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant or a large plant. The best selection of plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars. Long-Run Demand Plant Size Low Medium High Small 250 300 300 Large 150 300 600 (a) What is the decision to be made, and what is the chance event for Muñoz problem? The decision is to choose the best plant size . There are 2 alternatives. The chance event is the market demand for the new product line There are 3 possible outcomes. (b) Construct an influence diagram. (Submit a file with a maximum size of 1 MB.) Choose File No file chosen This answer has not been graded yet. (c) Construct a decision tree. (Submit a file with a maximum size of 1 MB.) Choose File No file chosen This answer has not been graded yet. (d) Recommend a decision based on the use of the optimistic, conservative, and minimax regret approaches. The recommended decision using the optimistic approach is to select the large plant regret approach is to select the large plant The recommended decision using the conservative approach is to select the small plant ✔ ✔ The recommended decision using the minimax
Transcribed Image Text:Muñoz Corporation's decision to produce a new line of recreational products resulted in the need to construct either a small plant or a large plant. The best selection of plant size depends on how the marketplace reacts to the new product line. To conduct an analysis, marketing management has decided to view the possible long-run demand as low, medium, or high. The following payoff table shows the projected profit in millions of dollars. Long-Run Demand Plant Size Low Medium High Small 250 300 300 Large 150 300 600 (a) What is the decision to be made, and what is the chance event for Muñoz problem? The decision is to choose the best plant size . There are 2 alternatives. The chance event is the market demand for the new product line There are 3 possible outcomes. (b) Construct an influence diagram. (Submit a file with a maximum size of 1 MB.) Choose File No file chosen This answer has not been graded yet. (c) Construct a decision tree. (Submit a file with a maximum size of 1 MB.) Choose File No file chosen This answer has not been graded yet. (d) Recommend a decision based on the use of the optimistic, conservative, and minimax regret approaches. The recommended decision using the optimistic approach is to select the large plant regret approach is to select the large plant The recommended decision using the conservative approach is to select the small plant ✔ ✔ The recommended decision using the minimax
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