Max Guldenstern, a stock analyst for HiAlpha Securities, is estimating returns for Elsinor Realty. Given the following information, the expected return for Elsinor is closest to: Scenario Probability Elsinor Boom 35% 15% Neutral 25% 7% Bust 40% 2% O A. 8.00%. O B. 12.00% O C.7.80%.

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Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
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**Expected Return Estimation for Elsinor Realty**

Max Guldenstern, a stock analyst for HiAlpha Securities, is estimating returns for Elsinor Realty. Given the following information, the expected return for Elsinor is closest to:

| Scenario | Probability | Elsinor Return |
|----------|-------------|----------------|
| Boom     | 35%         | 15%            |
| Neutral  | 25%         | 7%             |
| Bust     | 40%         | 2%             |

Based on these scenarios, choose the expected return for Elsinor:

- A. 8.00%
- B. 12.00%
- C. 7.80%

**Explanation:**

To calculate the expected return, multiply the return of each scenario by its probability and sum the results:

Expected Return = (0.35 * 15%) + (0.25 * 7%) + (0.40 * 2%)

This calculation helps in determining the most probable average return for Elsinor Realty based on different economic scenarios.
Transcribed Image Text:**Expected Return Estimation for Elsinor Realty** Max Guldenstern, a stock analyst for HiAlpha Securities, is estimating returns for Elsinor Realty. Given the following information, the expected return for Elsinor is closest to: | Scenario | Probability | Elsinor Return | |----------|-------------|----------------| | Boom | 35% | 15% | | Neutral | 25% | 7% | | Bust | 40% | 2% | Based on these scenarios, choose the expected return for Elsinor: - A. 8.00% - B. 12.00% - C. 7.80% **Explanation:** To calculate the expected return, multiply the return of each scenario by its probability and sum the results: Expected Return = (0.35 * 15%) + (0.25 * 7%) + (0.40 * 2%) This calculation helps in determining the most probable average return for Elsinor Realty based on different economic scenarios.
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