•Mary Lamb is trying to decide what to do about an apartment building she inherited from her great aunt. If she were to sell it today, she could get $100,000. Mary doesn't need the money immediately and is considering holding on to the property for sale later. Thus, she can sell the building now, at the end of next year, or at the end of the following year. She has definitely decided not to keep it longer than two years. For each year that Mary keeps the building, she receives $5,000 in rents, less operating costs. Mary's local Ecum Secum real estate guru has estimated the following chances regarding increases or decreases in the value of the property: during the first year there is a 20% chance that the value of the building will increase by $10,000 and an 80% chance that it will decrease by $10,000. However, if it were to increase next year, the chance of another increase of $10,000 in the following year is 60%. But if the value decreases next year, the chance of a further decrease of $10,000 is 90%. •Construct a decision tree illustrating Mary's decision problem.

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
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Mary Lamb is trying to decide what to do about an apartment building
she inherited from her great aunt. If she were to sell it today, she could
get $100,000. Mary doesn't need the money immediately and is
considering holding on to the property for sale later. Thus, she can sell
the building now, at the end of next year, or at the end of the following
year. She has definitely decided not to keep it longer than two years.
For each year that Mary keeps the building, she receives $5,000 in
rents, less operating costs. Mary's local Ecum Secum real estate guru
has estimated the following chances regarding increases or decreases
in the value of the property: during the first year there is a 20% chance
that the value of the building will increase by $10,000 and an 80%
chance that it will decrease by $10,000. However, if it were to increase
next year, the chance of another increase of $10,000 in the following
year is 60%. But if the value decreases next year, the chance of a
further decrease of $10,000 is 90%.
•Construct a decision tree illustrating Mary's decision problem.
Transcribed Image Text:Mary Lamb is trying to decide what to do about an apartment building she inherited from her great aunt. If she were to sell it today, she could get $100,000. Mary doesn't need the money immediately and is considering holding on to the property for sale later. Thus, she can sell the building now, at the end of next year, or at the end of the following year. She has definitely decided not to keep it longer than two years. For each year that Mary keeps the building, she receives $5,000 in rents, less operating costs. Mary's local Ecum Secum real estate guru has estimated the following chances regarding increases or decreases in the value of the property: during the first year there is a 20% chance that the value of the building will increase by $10,000 and an 80% chance that it will decrease by $10,000. However, if it were to increase next year, the chance of another increase of $10,000 in the following year is 60%. But if the value decreases next year, the chance of a further decrease of $10,000 is 90%. •Construct a decision tree illustrating Mary's decision problem.
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