Many people believe that the daily change in price of a company's stock in the stock market is a random variable with mean 0 and variance o² during the middle 2 months between 2 earning report dates when there is not much news released. That is, if Yn represents the closing price of the stock on the nth trading day of that period, then Yn = Yn-1 + Xn, for 1 ≤ n ≤ 60, where X₁, X2,..., X60 are independent and identically distributed random variables with mean 0 and variance o². Suppose that the stock price at the beginning of the 2-month period is 100. If σ = 2, what is the approximate probability that the stock's closing price on the 30th trading day will exceed 110, i.e., what is P(Y30 > 110)

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
icon
Related questions
Question
Many people believe that the daily change in price of a company's stock in the stock market is a random variable with mean 0 and variance \(\sigma^2\) during the middle 2 months between 2 earning report dates when there is not much news released. That is, if \(Y_n\) represents the closing price of the stock on the \(n\)th trading day of that period, then \(Y_n = Y_{n-1} + X_n\), for \(1 \leq n \leq 60\), where \(X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_{60}\) are independent and identically distributed random variables with mean 0 and variance \(\sigma^2\). Suppose that the stock price at the beginning of the 2-month period is 100. If \(\sigma = 2\), what is the approximate probability that the stock’s closing price on the 30th trading day will exceed 110, i.e., what is \(P(Y_{30} > 110)\)
Transcribed Image Text:Many people believe that the daily change in price of a company's stock in the stock market is a random variable with mean 0 and variance \(\sigma^2\) during the middle 2 months between 2 earning report dates when there is not much news released. That is, if \(Y_n\) represents the closing price of the stock on the \(n\)th trading day of that period, then \(Y_n = Y_{n-1} + X_n\), for \(1 \leq n \leq 60\), where \(X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_{60}\) are independent and identically distributed random variables with mean 0 and variance \(\sigma^2\). Suppose that the stock price at the beginning of the 2-month period is 100. If \(\sigma = 2\), what is the approximate probability that the stock’s closing price on the 30th trading day will exceed 110, i.e., what is \(P(Y_{30} > 110)\)
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 3 steps with 4 images

Blurred answer
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
Statistics
ISBN:
9781119256830
Author:
Amos Gilat
Publisher:
John Wiley & Sons Inc
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and th…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305251809
Author:
Jay L. Devore
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics for The Behavioral Sciences (MindTap C…
Statistics
ISBN:
9781305504912
Author:
Frederick J Gravetter, Larry B. Wallnau
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Elementary Statistics: Picturing the World (7th E…
Statistics
ISBN:
9780134683416
Author:
Ron Larson, Betsy Farber
Publisher:
PEARSON
The Basic Practice of Statistics
The Basic Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319042578
Author:
David S. Moore, William I. Notz, Michael A. Fligner
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Introduction to the Practice of Statistics
Statistics
ISBN:
9781319013387
Author:
David S. Moore, George P. McCabe, Bruce A. Craig
Publisher:
W. H. Freeman