Managerial Report Prepare a report with your rankings of the judges. Also, include an analysis of the like- lihood of appeal and case reversal in the three courts. At a minimum, your report should include the following: 1. The probability of cases being appealed and reversed in the three different courts. 2. The probability of a case being appealed for each judge. 3. The probability of a case being reversed for each judge. 4. The probability of reversal given an appeal for each judge. 5. Rank the judges within each court. State the criteria you used and provide a rationale for your choice.

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Author:Amos Gilat
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Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
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Municipal Court
Total Cases Disposed
Judge
Appealed Cases
Mike Allen
6,149
Reversed Cases
Nadine Allen
7,812
43
4
34
Timothy Black
7,954
6
David Davis
7,736
41
6.
Leslie Isaiah Gaines
Karla Grady
43
5,282
35
5,253
13
6.
Deidra Hair
2,532
Dennis Helmick
7,900
29
Timothy Hogan
2,308
13
James Patrick Kenney
2,798
Joseph Luebbers
William Mallory
4,698
25
8
8,277
38
Melba Marsh
6.
8,219
34
Beth Mattingly
7
2,971
13
Albert Mestemaker
1
4,975
28
Mark Painter
2,239
7
Jack Rosen
7,790
41
13
Mark Schweikert
5,403
33
David Stockdale
5,371
22
4
John A. West
2,797
4
Total
108,464
500
104
Managerial Report
Prepare a report with your rankings of the judges. Also, include an analysis of the like-
lihood of appeal and case reversal in the three courts. At a minimum, your report should
include the following:
1. The probability of cases being appealed and reversed in the three different courts.
2. The probability of a case being appealed for each judge.
3. The probability of a case being reversed for each judge.
4. The probability of reversal given an appeal for each judge.
Rank the judges within each court. State the criteria you used and provide a rationale
for your choice.
Transcribed Image Text:Municipal Court Total Cases Disposed Judge Appealed Cases Mike Allen 6,149 Reversed Cases Nadine Allen 7,812 43 4 34 Timothy Black 7,954 6 David Davis 7,736 41 6. Leslie Isaiah Gaines Karla Grady 43 5,282 35 5,253 13 6. Deidra Hair 2,532 Dennis Helmick 7,900 29 Timothy Hogan 2,308 13 James Patrick Kenney 2,798 Joseph Luebbers William Mallory 4,698 25 8 8,277 38 Melba Marsh 6. 8,219 34 Beth Mattingly 7 2,971 13 Albert Mestemaker 1 4,975 28 Mark Painter 2,239 7 Jack Rosen 7,790 41 13 Mark Schweikert 5,403 33 David Stockdale 5,371 22 4 John A. West 2,797 4 Total 108,464 500 104 Managerial Report Prepare a report with your rankings of the judges. Also, include an analysis of the like- lihood of appeal and case reversal in the three courts. At a minimum, your report should include the following: 1. The probability of cases being appealed and reversed in the three different courts. 2. The probability of a case being appealed for each judge. 3. The probability of a case being reversed for each judge. 4. The probability of reversal given an appeal for each judge. Rank the judges within each court. State the criteria you used and provide a rationale for your choice.
218
Chapter 5 Probability: An Introdut
Hamilton County judges try thousands of cases per year. In an overwhelming majority
of the cases disposed, the verdict stands as rendered. However, some cases are
and of those appealed, some of the cases are reversed. Kristen DelGuzzi of the Cincinnas
Enquirer newspaper conducted a study of cases handled by Hamilton County judges ove
three-year period. Shown in the table below are the results for 182,908 cases handled (di
posed) by 38 judges in Common Pleas Court, Domestic Relations Court, and Municinal
Court. Two of the judges (Dinkelacker and Hogan) did not serve in the same court for the
entire three-year period.
The purpose of the newspaper's study was to evaluate the performance of the judges
Appeals are often the result of mistakes made by judges, and the newspaper wanted to
know which judges were doing a good job and which were making too many mistakes, You
are called in to assist in the data analysis. Use your knowledge of probability and condi-
tional probability to help with the ranking of the judges. You also may be able to analyze
the likelihood of appeal and reversal for cases handled by different courts.
CASE PROBLEM: HAMILTON COUNTY JUDGES
.... e ..
appealed,
Total Cases Disposed, Appealed, and Reversed in Hamilton County Courts
Common Pleas Court
Reversed Cases
Total Cases Disposed
Appealed Cases
Judge
12
137
Fred Cartolano
3,037
119
10
Thomas Crush
3,372
44
8
Patrick Dinkelacker
1,258
60
Timothy Hogan
1,954
Robert Kraft
3,138
127
7
William Mathews
2,264
91
18
William Morrissey
3,032
121
22
Norbert Nadel
2,959
131
20
Arthur Ney, Jr.
3,219
125
14
Richard Niehaus
3,353
137
16
Thomas Nurre
3,000
121
6.
John O'Connor
2,969
129
12
Robert Ruehlman
3,205
145
18
J. Howard Sundermann
955
60
10
Ann Marie Tracey
3,141
127
13
Ralph Winkler
3,089
88
6.
Total
43,945
1,762
199
Domestic Relations Court
Judge
Total Cases Disposed
Appealed Cases
Reversed Cases
Penelope Cunningham
2,729
7.
1
Patrick Dinkelacker
6,001
Deborah Gaines
19
4.
8,799
48
Ronald Panioto
12,970
32
Total
30,499
106
17
Transcribed Image Text:218 Chapter 5 Probability: An Introdut Hamilton County judges try thousands of cases per year. In an overwhelming majority of the cases disposed, the verdict stands as rendered. However, some cases are and of those appealed, some of the cases are reversed. Kristen DelGuzzi of the Cincinnas Enquirer newspaper conducted a study of cases handled by Hamilton County judges ove three-year period. Shown in the table below are the results for 182,908 cases handled (di posed) by 38 judges in Common Pleas Court, Domestic Relations Court, and Municinal Court. Two of the judges (Dinkelacker and Hogan) did not serve in the same court for the entire three-year period. The purpose of the newspaper's study was to evaluate the performance of the judges Appeals are often the result of mistakes made by judges, and the newspaper wanted to know which judges were doing a good job and which were making too many mistakes, You are called in to assist in the data analysis. Use your knowledge of probability and condi- tional probability to help with the ranking of the judges. You also may be able to analyze the likelihood of appeal and reversal for cases handled by different courts. CASE PROBLEM: HAMILTON COUNTY JUDGES .... e .. appealed, Total Cases Disposed, Appealed, and Reversed in Hamilton County Courts Common Pleas Court Reversed Cases Total Cases Disposed Appealed Cases Judge 12 137 Fred Cartolano 3,037 119 10 Thomas Crush 3,372 44 8 Patrick Dinkelacker 1,258 60 Timothy Hogan 1,954 Robert Kraft 3,138 127 7 William Mathews 2,264 91 18 William Morrissey 3,032 121 22 Norbert Nadel 2,959 131 20 Arthur Ney, Jr. 3,219 125 14 Richard Niehaus 3,353 137 16 Thomas Nurre 3,000 121 6. John O'Connor 2,969 129 12 Robert Ruehlman 3,205 145 18 J. Howard Sundermann 955 60 10 Ann Marie Tracey 3,141 127 13 Ralph Winkler 3,089 88 6. Total 43,945 1,762 199 Domestic Relations Court Judge Total Cases Disposed Appealed Cases Reversed Cases Penelope Cunningham 2,729 7. 1 Patrick Dinkelacker 6,001 Deborah Gaines 19 4. 8,799 48 Ronald Panioto 12,970 32 Total 30,499 106 17
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