You work for the International Monetary Fund in Washington DC, mon-itoring Singapore's real consumption expenditures. Using a sample ofquarterly real consumption data (measured in billions of 2005 Singaporedollars), Yt, t =1990.1,2006.4, you estimate the linear consumption....trend model, Yt = Bo + B1TIME + Et, where & ~iidN(0, o²), obtain-ing the estimates Bo = 0.51, B12.30, and ô?16. Based upon yourestimated trend model, construct feasible point, interval and densityforecasts for 2010.1.a Find the exact value of the point forecast2010.01.b Provide the distribution of the density forecast at 2010.01.c Provide interval forecasts for 68% and 90% confidence levels.

Timet (2010.1) = (2010 - 1900)x 4 = 80 Point Estimate = b0 + b1 Timet = 0.51 + 2.30*80= 184.51…

Answered: lou work for the International Monetary…

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

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A static model is postulated when a change in the independent variable at time T is believed to have an effect on the dependent variable at period Da change in the independent variable at time t'is believed to have an effect on the dependent varlable for al successive time periods. Ca change in the independent variable at time tis telieved to have an immediate effect on the dependent variable. da change in the independent variable at time T does not have any effect on the dependent variable
Please give me correct answer and full explanation with calculation otherwise i give downvote Note:- Please avoid using ChatGPT and refrain from providing handwritten solutions; otherwise, I will definitely give a downvote. Also, be mindful of plagiarism. Answer completely and accurate answer. Rest assured, you will receive an upvote if the answer is accurate.
3. Rubax, a U.S. manufacturer of athletic shoes, estimates the following linear trend model for shoe sales: Qt = a+bt+c1D1+c2D2+c3D3Where, Qt = sales of athletic shoes in the t-th quartert = 1, 2, . . . . , 28 [2011(I), 2011(II), . . . . , 2017(IV)]D1 = 1 if t is quarter I (winter); 0 otherwiseD2 = 1 if t is quarter II (spring); 0 otherwiseD3 = 1 if t is quarter III (summer); 0 otherwiseThe regression analysis produces the following results: Is there sufficient statistical evidence of an upward trend in shoe sales? explain Do these data indicate a statistically significant seasonal pattern of sales for Rubax shoes? If so, what is the seasonal pattern exhibited by the data? Using the estimated forecast equation, forecast sales of Rubax shoes for 2018(III) and 2019(II).
In general, what is true about the relationship between the Sum of Squared Residuals in the restricted and unrestricted model? a. SSRr = R-squared * SSRur b. SSRr < SSRur c. SSRr > SSRur d. SSRr = SSRur
Q. Table provided gives data on gross domestic product (GDP) for the United States for the years 1959–2005. a. Plot the GDP data in current and constant (i.e., 2000) dollars against time. b. Letting Y denote GDP and X time (measured chronologically starting with 1 for 1959, 2 for 1960, through 47 for 2005), see if the following model fits the GDP data: Yt = β1 + β2 Xt + ut Estimate this model for both current and constant-dollar GDP. c. How would you interpret β2? d. If there is a difference between β2 estimated for current-dollar GDP and that estimated for constant-dollar GDP, what explains the difference? e. From your results what can you say about the nature of inflation in the United States over the sample period? Please answer c, d, and e. Thank you!
1) In the IS equation why wasnt G in the calculations. 2)Suppose that with all exogenous variables, including T and M at their original values, households become less confident about the future and reduce their autonomous level of consumption from 200 to 150. Solve for the new values of e, Y and NX. With the help of graphs, explain very carefully the mechanisms by which a new equilibrium is reached. 3)Suppose that with all exogenous variables at their original values, the autonomous part of money demand increases to 70. Solve for the new values of e, Y and NX. With the help of graphs, explain very carefully the mechanisms by which a new equilibrium is reached.
T. Haavelmo devised a model of the US economy for the years 1929–1941 based on the followingequations:(i) c = 0.712y + 95.05 (ii) s = 0.158(c + x) − 34.30(iii) y = c + x − s (iv) x = 93.53Here x denotes total investment, y is disposable income, s is the total saving by firms, and c istotal consumption. Write the system of equations in the form (1) when the variables appear inthe order x, y, s, and c. Then find the solution of the system.
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