Let's calculate the probability of finding someone special. Using a form of Fermi's Paradox (the difference between having limited or no choices to having high amount of choices). Let's calculate your probability using the following data. Multiply the number and all percentages together N (subscript p): Number of people = your target population (number of people in your state). Broward County, FL is 1,953, 251 million. Dade County, FL is 2,717,251 million. Palm Beach County, FL is 1,497,251 million. Harris County, TX is 4,731,251 million. (example: 1,374,251 x .5 x .44 x .37 x.25 x.10 x.10 = 279 people are potential special people for you) times f (subscript g) = target gender (multiply as a decimal. Example: 0.5 for either sex or 1.0 for both sexes) times f (subscripts) = single people (multiply as a decimal) About 44% of people are single at any given time. f (subscript e) = the number of people you'll run into (multiply as a decimal). Your sample size will be small if you only meet people at bars or parties so we're going to use 37% for a variety of places. Times f (subscript r) = age range (multiply as a decimal) use 25% f (subscript a) = attractive to you 10% (multiply as a decimal) f (subscript t) = attracted to you 10% (multiply as a decimal)
Let's calculate the probability of finding someone special. Using a form of Fermi's Paradox (the difference between having limited or no choices to having high amount of choices). Let's calculate your probability using the following data. Multiply the number and all percentages together N (subscript p): Number of people = your target population (number of people in your state). Broward County, FL is 1,953, 251 million. Dade County, FL is 2,717,251 million. Palm Beach County, FL is 1,497,251 million. Harris County, TX is 4,731,251 million. (example: 1,374,251 x .5 x .44 x .37 x.25 x.10 x.10 = 279 people are potential special people for you) times f (subscript g) = target gender (multiply as a decimal. Example: 0.5 for either sex or 1.0 for both sexes) times f (subscripts) = single people (multiply as a decimal) About 44% of people are single at any given time. f (subscript e) = the number of people you'll run into (multiply as a decimal). Your sample size will be small if you only meet people at bars or parties so we're going to use 37% for a variety of places. Times f (subscript r) = age range (multiply as a decimal) use 25% f (subscript a) = attractive to you 10% (multiply as a decimal) f (subscript t) = attracted to you 10% (multiply as a decimal)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Transcribed Image Text:Let's calculate the probability of finding someone special. Using a form of Fermi's Paradox (the difference
between having limited or no choices to having high amount of choices). Let's calculate your probability
using the following data. Multiply the number and all percentages together N (subscript p): Number of
people = your target population (number of people in your state). Broward County, FL is 1,953, 251
million. Dade County, FL is 2,717,251 million. Palm Beach County, FL is 1, 497,251 million. Harris County,
TX is 4,731,251 million. (example: 1,374,251 x .5 x .44 x .37 x .25 x.10 x.10 = 279 people are potential
special people for you) times f (subscript g) = target gender (multiply as a decimal. Example: 0.5 for either
sex or 1.0 for both sexes) times f (subscripts) = single people (multiply as a decimal) About 44% of people
are single at any given time. f (subscript e) = the number of people you'll run into (multiply as a decimal).
Your sample size will be small if you only meet people at bars or parties so we're going to use 37% for a
variety of places. Times f (subscript r) = age range (multiply as a decimal) use 25% f (subscript a) =
attractive to you 10% (multiply as a decimal) f (subscript t) = attracted to you 10% (multiply as a decimal)
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