Let (x₁, Y₂) (i = 1,...,n) be independent following the Poisson regression model (without intercept) Y~ Poission (x₁) (This is often used to model number of events occurred given a covariate. For example, the number of traffic accidents in a month as Y; at the i-th intersection vs the number of cars going through the same intersection in the same period, as x;) (a) Since E(Y;) = Xx;, we can write Y; = Xx; + e; where E(e;) = 0. Find the least square estimator for A. (b) Write the likelihood function L(X) (treat £₁,...,n as non-random) (c) Find MLE for A. (d) Suppose we use Gamma(a, ß) with pdf Ba T(a) T(X) = -Aª-le-BA for X>0 as the prior distribution. Find the posterior distribution given observations (y₁, ₁), ..., (Yn, xn). And find the corresponding Bayes estimator for A. [Hint: The prior is a conjugate prior so the posterior distribution is also a Gamma distribution. The mean of the Gamma(a, b) distribution is a/b]

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Let (xi, Yi) (i = 1,...,n) be independent following the Poisson regression model
(without intercept)
Y~ Poission (x₁)
(This is often used to model number of events occurred given a covariate. For example,
the number of traffic accidents in a month as Y; at the i-th intersection vs the number
of cars going through the same intersection in the same period, as x₂)
(a) Since E(Y;) = Ari, we can write Y₁ = λr; + e; where E(e;) = 0. Find the least
square estimator for A.
(b) Write the likelihood function L(A) (treat x₁,...,En as non-random)
(c) Find MLE for A.
(d) Suppose we use Gamma(a, ß) with pdf
Ba
π(X) = -Aa-le-BA for A>0
r(a)
as the prior distribution. Find the posterior distribution given observations (y₁, ₁),..., (Yn, In).
And find the corresponding Bayes estimator for A. [Hint: The prior is a conjugate
prior so the posterior distribution is also a Gamma distribution. The mean of the
Gamma(a, b) distribution is a/b]
Transcribed Image Text:Let (xi, Yi) (i = 1,...,n) be independent following the Poisson regression model (without intercept) Y~ Poission (x₁) (This is often used to model number of events occurred given a covariate. For example, the number of traffic accidents in a month as Y; at the i-th intersection vs the number of cars going through the same intersection in the same period, as x₂) (a) Since E(Y;) = Ari, we can write Y₁ = λr; + e; where E(e;) = 0. Find the least square estimator for A. (b) Write the likelihood function L(A) (treat x₁,...,En as non-random) (c) Find MLE for A. (d) Suppose we use Gamma(a, ß) with pdf Ba π(X) = -Aa-le-BA for A>0 r(a) as the prior distribution. Find the posterior distribution given observations (y₁, ₁),..., (Yn, In). And find the corresponding Bayes estimator for A. [Hint: The prior is a conjugate prior so the posterior distribution is also a Gamma distribution. The mean of the Gamma(a, b) distribution is a/b]
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