Let (X: n 0, 1, 2, ...} be a Markov chain with two states 1, 2 with the following one-step transition probability matrix P. 1 state 1/4 3/4 1/2 1/2 If Xo = 1, what is the probability that in exactly two steps after starting (i.e., at n =2) the state is 2 for the FIRST TIME? O none of the other choices O 1/8 O 1/4 O 3/16 2.

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