Let P be the probability a person reported missing is still missing at the end of the year. Which of the following would you choose to be a suitable likelihood function. Select one: O a. L(p)= ÏI (N;)»" p"9(1-p)N9 g-ng g na %3D g=1 is the number initially missing in age group g where N and n g is the number still missing in age group g. L(p)=(N)p"(1-p)N- Ob. where N is the The following table shows the number of people reported as missing by total number initially missing and n is the total number still missing. the Metropolitan Police in the year ending March 1994 (Initially missing) and the number who were still missing at the end of March 1994 (Still missing), broken down by age group. N! Oc. 3 ng L(p)= ПР where N is the Missing people g=. g=: 16133 8585 Initially missing Still missing Age Group 5757 total number still missing and T g are the number still missing in age group g. 6. 71 171 316 < 14 14 - 18 > 18 d. 3 L(p)= ÏI L(p)= II p"9exp(-p) ng! where n a is the number We want to investigate the probability that a person reported as missing during the year is still missing at the end of the year. g=1 still missing in age group g. Briefly describe how the model could be adapted to allow P,the probability of still being missing, to depend on the age group.

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Let P be the probability a person reported missing is still missing at
the end of the year.
Which of the following would you choose to be a suitable likelihood
function.
Select one:
Oa.
3
L(p)= II (N:)p"9(1-p)N9-n9
where N
and n a is the number still missing in age group g.
is the number initially missing in age group g
Ob.
L(p)=(N)p"(1-p)N-n
where N is the
The following table shows the number of people reported as missing by
the Metropolitan Police in the year ending March 1994 (Initially missing)
total number initially missing and n is the total number still
missing.
and the number who were still missing at the end of March 1994 (Still
N!
3
L(p)=|
missing), broken down by age group.
П
ПР
where N is the
Missing people
9=1
Initially missing
Still missing
5757
16133
8585
total number still missing and n g are the number still missing
in age group g.
71
171
316
Age Group
< 14
14 - 18
> 18
d.
3
ng
L(p) = ÏI "p-P),
p"9exp(-p)
where n a is the number
We want to investigate the probability that a person reported as
missing during the year is still missing at the end of the year.
ng
still missing in age group g.
Briefly describe how the model could be adapted to allow P, the
probability of still being missing, to depend on the age group.
Transcribed Image Text:Let P be the probability a person reported missing is still missing at the end of the year. Which of the following would you choose to be a suitable likelihood function. Select one: Oa. 3 L(p)= II (N:)p"9(1-p)N9-n9 where N and n a is the number still missing in age group g. is the number initially missing in age group g Ob. L(p)=(N)p"(1-p)N-n where N is the The following table shows the number of people reported as missing by the Metropolitan Police in the year ending March 1994 (Initially missing) total number initially missing and n is the total number still missing. and the number who were still missing at the end of March 1994 (Still N! 3 L(p)=| missing), broken down by age group. П ПР where N is the Missing people 9=1 Initially missing Still missing 5757 16133 8585 total number still missing and n g are the number still missing in age group g. 71 171 316 Age Group < 14 14 - 18 > 18 d. 3 ng L(p) = ÏI "p-P), p"9exp(-p) where n a is the number We want to investigate the probability that a person reported as missing during the year is still missing at the end of the year. ng still missing in age group g. Briefly describe how the model could be adapted to allow P, the probability of still being missing, to depend on the age group.
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