Let i, denote the effective annual return achieved on an equity fund achieved between time (t-1) and time t. Annual log-returns on the fund, denoted by In(1+i), are assumed to form a series of independent and identically distributed Normal random variables with parameters μ = 6% and σ= 14%. An investor has a liability of £10,000 payable at time 15. Calculate the amount of money that should be invested now so that the probability that the investor will be unable to meet the liability as it falls due is only 5%.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Let i, denote the effective annual return achieved on an equity fund
achieved between time (t-1) and time t.
Annual log-returns on the fund, denoted by In(1+i), are assumed to form
a series of independent and identically distributed Normal random
variables with parameters u = 6% and σ = 14%.
An investor has a liability of £10,000 payable at time 15.
Calculate the amount of money that should be invested now so that the
probability that the investor will be unable to meet the liability as it falls
due is only 5%.
Transcribed Image Text:Let i, denote the effective annual return achieved on an equity fund achieved between time (t-1) and time t. Annual log-returns on the fund, denoted by In(1+i), are assumed to form a series of independent and identically distributed Normal random variables with parameters u = 6% and σ = 14%. An investor has a liability of £10,000 payable at time 15. Calculate the amount of money that should be invested now so that the probability that the investor will be unable to meet the liability as it falls due is only 5%.
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